Magnus Carlsen leads the Titled Tuesday field at 23% implied probability due to his recent victories on August 4 and August 11, where he posted scores of 9.5/11 or better against strong opposition in the 5+0 blitz format. Hikaru Nakamura sits second at 15.5%, reflecting his unmatched historical win count in the event and consistent elite-level results despite fewer 2026 triumphs. The remaining field stays tightly bunched because dozens of grandmasters, including Arjun Erigaisi, Alireza Firouzja, Denis Lazavik, and Nodirbek Abdusattorov, maintain comparable ratings and recent form, with any given Tuesday producing multiple 9+/11 scores from the deep Swiss-system field. This broad parity, combined with the inherent variance of online blitz and frequent participation by top players, keeps individual probabilities compressed and prevents any single entrant from commanding a dominant share of trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMagnus Carlsen 23%
Hikaru Nakamura 16%
Fabiano Caruana 9%
Wesley So 9%
Magnus Carlsen
23%
Hikaru Nakamura
16%
Fabiano Caruana
9%
Wesley So
9%
Ding Liren
9%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Tuomas Turunen
9%
Javokhir Sindarov
9%
Levon Aronian
9%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
9%
Sam Sevian
9%
Volen Dyulgerov
9%
Vincent Keymer
9%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
9%
Alireza Firouzja
5%
Dincer Tasdogen
5%
Faustino Oro
5%
Frederik Svane
5%
Arjun Erigaisi
5%
Denis Lazavik
5%
Sina Movahed
5%
Alexander Grischuk
5%
Aleksandar Indjic
5%
Aleksandr Shimanov
5%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
5%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
5%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
5%
Wei Yi
5%
Vladimir Fedoseev
5%
Christopher Yoo
5%
Awonder Liang
5%
Andrew Tang
5%
Aravindh Chithambaram
5%
Aleksei Sarana
5%
Benjamin Bok
5%
Andrey Esipenko
5%
Bardiya Daneshvar
5%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
5%
Dmitry Andreikin
5%
David Anton
5%
Dau Khuong Duy
5%
Hans Niemann
5%
Haowen Xue
5%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
5%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
5%
Jose Martinez
5%
Jules Moussard
5%
Jeffery Xiong
5%
Le Tuan Minh
5%
Matthias Bluebaum
5%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
5%
Pranav Venkatesh
5%
Renato Terry Lujan
5%
Rudik Makarian
5%
Rasmus Svane
5%
Sergey Sklokin
5%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
5%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
5%
Vladislav Artemiev
5%
Haik Martirosyan
5%
Nihal Sarin
5%
Nikolas Theodorou
5%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
5%
Parham Maghsoodloo
5%
Pranesh Munirethinam
5%
Magnus Carlsen 23%
Hikaru Nakamura 16%
Fabiano Caruana 9%
Wesley So 9%
Magnus Carlsen
23%
Hikaru Nakamura
16%
Fabiano Caruana
9%
Wesley So
9%
Ding Liren
9%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Tuomas Turunen
9%
Javokhir Sindarov
9%
Levon Aronian
9%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
9%
Sam Sevian
9%
Volen Dyulgerov
9%
Vincent Keymer
9%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
9%
Alireza Firouzja
5%
Dincer Tasdogen
5%
Faustino Oro
5%
Frederik Svane
5%
Arjun Erigaisi
5%
Denis Lazavik
5%
Sina Movahed
5%
Alexander Grischuk
5%
Aleksandar Indjic
5%
Aleksandr Shimanov
5%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
5%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
5%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
5%
Wei Yi
5%
Vladimir Fedoseev
5%
Christopher Yoo
5%
Awonder Liang
5%
Andrew Tang
5%
Aravindh Chithambaram
5%
Aleksei Sarana
5%
Benjamin Bok
5%
Andrey Esipenko
5%
Bardiya Daneshvar
5%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
5%
Dmitry Andreikin
5%
David Anton
5%
Dau Khuong Duy
5%
Hans Niemann
5%
Haowen Xue
5%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
5%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
5%
Jose Martinez
5%
Jules Moussard
5%
Jeffery Xiong
5%
Le Tuan Minh
5%
Matthias Bluebaum
5%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
5%
Pranav Venkatesh
5%
Renato Terry Lujan
5%
Rudik Makarian
5%
Rasmus Svane
5%
Sergey Sklokin
5%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
5%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
5%
Vladislav Artemiev
5%
Haik Martirosyan
5%
Nihal Sarin
5%
Nikolas Theodorou
5%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
5%
Parham Maghsoodloo
5%
Pranesh Munirethinam
5%
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source de résolution
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Magnus Carlsen leads the Titled Tuesday field at 23% implied probability due to his recent victories on August 4 and August 11, where he posted scores of 9.5/11 or better against strong opposition in the 5+0 blitz format. Hikaru Nakamura sits second at 15.5%, reflecting his unmatched historical win count in the event and consistent elite-level results despite fewer 2026 triumphs. The remaining field stays tightly bunched because dozens of grandmasters, including Arjun Erigaisi, Alireza Firouzja, Denis Lazavik, and Nodirbek Abdusattorov, maintain comparable ratings and recent form, with any given Tuesday producing multiple 9+/11 scores from the deep Swiss-system field. This broad parity, combined with the inherent variance of online blitz and frequent participation by top players, keeps individual probabilities compressed and prevents any single entrant from commanding a dominant share of trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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