Tennessee's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent statewide races and a Cook Political Report Solid R rating for the open seat. Incumbent John Rose's retirement to pursue the governorship triggered an August 6, 2026, Republican primary won by state Representative Johnny Garrett over former U.S. Representative Van Hilleary, while Mike Croley secured the Democratic nomination. These results, combined with the district's suburban and rural composition across Middle Tennessee, have shaped trader consensus around a Republican hold. A realistic shift would require significant late-cycle developments such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout that overcomes the established voting patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTN-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
TN-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$12,393 Vol.
$12,393 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
94%
Parti démocrate
7%
$12,393 Vol.
$12,393 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$8,446 Vol.
94%
Parti démocrate
$3,947 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent statewide races and a Cook Political Report Solid R rating for the open seat. Incumbent John Rose's retirement to pursue the governorship triggered an August 6, 2026, Republican primary won by state Representative Johnny Garrett over former U.S. Representative Van Hilleary, while Mike Croley secured the Democratic nomination. These results, combined with the district's suburban and rural composition across Middle Tennessee, have shaped trader consensus around a Republican hold. A realistic shift would require significant late-cycle developments such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout that overcomes the established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$12,393Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent statewide races and a Cook Political Report Solid R rating for the open seat. Incumbent John Rose's retirement to pursue the governorship triggered an August 6, 2026, Republican primary won by state Representative Johnny Garrett over former U.S. Representative Van Hilleary, while Mike Croley secured the Democratic nomination. These results, combined with the district's suburban and rural composition across Middle Tennessee, have shaped trader consensus around a Republican hold. A realistic shift would require significant late-cycle developments such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout that overcomes the established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,393Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent statewide races and a Cook Political Report Solid R rating for the open seat. Incumbent John Rose's retirement to pursue the governorship triggered an August 6, 2026, Republican primary won by state Representative Johnny Garrett over former U.S. Representative Van Hilleary, while Mike Croley secured the Democratic nomination. These results, combined with the district's suburban and rural composition across Middle Tennessee, have shaped trader consensus around a Republican hold. A realistic shift would require significant late-cycle developments such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout that overcomes the established voting patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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