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Politique·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Tocantins

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Tocantins
Politique·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Tocantins

Ataides de Oliveira 44%

Du Pereira 44%

Laurez Moreira 44%

Prof. Witer Naves 44%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Ataides de Oliveira 44%

Du Pereira 44%

Laurez Moreira 44%

Prof. Witer Naves 44%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Ataides de Oliveira

Ataides de Oliveira

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Du Pereira

Du Pereira

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Laurez Moreira

Laurez Moreira

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Prof. Witer Naves

Prof. Witer Naves

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Professora Dorinha

Professora Dorinha

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Subtenente Luiz Carlos

Subtenente Luiz Carlos

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Vicentinho Júnior

Vicentinho Júnior

$0 Vol.

44%

The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Tocantins gubernatorial contest remains highly fragmented heading into the October 2026 vote, with recent July polls showing Professora Dorinha (União Brasil) and Vicentinho Júnior (PSDB) essentially tied in the low-to-mid 30s while Laurez Moreira, Ataídes de Oliveira, and others trail in single digits amid more than 50 percent undecided or blank responses. Multiple pre-candidates from parties including NOVO, PSD, PSOL, and DC have declared, producing a crowded field where no contender has consolidated broad coalitions or statewide name recognition. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, treating outcomes as closely matched pending further developments such as formal party registrations, alliance negotiations, or the first major televised debates that could shift voter preferences in the coming weeks.

The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:39 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Tocantins gubernatorial contest remains highly fragmented heading into the October 2026 vote, with recent July polls showing Professora Dorinha (União Brasil) and Vicentinho Júnior (PSDB) essentially tied in the low-to-mid 30s while Laurez Moreira, Ataídes de Oliveira, and others trail in single digits amid more than 50 percent undecided or blank responses. Multiple pre-candidates from parties including NOVO, PSD, PSOL, and DC have declared, producing a crowded field where no contender has consolidated broad coalitions or statewide name recognition. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, treating outcomes as closely matched pending further developments such as formal party registrations, alliance negotiations, or the first major televised debates that could shift voter preferences in the coming weeks.

The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:39 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Tocantins » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Ataides de Oliveira » à 44%, suivi de « Du Pereira » à 44%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 44¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Tocantins » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Tocantins », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Tocantins » est « Ataides de Oliveira » à 44%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Du Pereira » à 44%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Tocantins » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.