Republican control of both chambers of Congress remains the central factor sustaining the 90.5 percent trader consensus that President Trump will serve through 2026. Recent Democratic initiatives, including articles of impeachment introduced in April and a proposed 25th Amendment fitness commission, have advanced no further than committee because they lack the bipartisan support required for Senate conviction, which historically demands a two-thirds supermajority. No verified reports of resignation, incapacity, or legal disqualifiers have surfaced in the past month, while midterm election dynamics and procedural timelines further constrain any realistic removal path before the end of the year. These institutional and political realities continue to anchor market pricing on continuity in office.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$8,522,300 Vol.
$8,522,300 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$8,522,300 Vol.
$8,522,300 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican control of both chambers of Congress remains the central factor sustaining the 90.5 percent trader consensus that President Trump will serve through 2026. Recent Democratic initiatives, including articles of impeachment introduced in April and a proposed 25th Amendment fitness commission, have advanced no further than committee because they lack the bipartisan support required for Senate conviction, which historically demands a two-thirds supermajority. No verified reports of resignation, incapacity, or legal disqualifiers have surfaced in the past month, while midterm election dynamics and procedural timelines further constrain any realistic removal path before the end of the year. These institutional and political realities continue to anchor market pricing on continuity in office.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volume
$8,522,300Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican control of both chambers of Congress remains the central factor sustaining the 90.5 percent trader consensus that President Trump will serve through 2026. Recent Democratic initiatives, including articles of impeachment introduced in April and a proposed 25th Amendment fitness commission, have advanced no further than committee because they lack the bipartisan support required for Senate conviction, which historically demands a two-thirds supermajority. No verified reports of resignation, incapacity, or legal disqualifiers have surfaced in the past month, while midterm election dynamics and procedural timelines further constrain any realistic removal path before the end of the year. These institutional and political realities continue to anchor market pricing on continuity in office.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$8,522,300Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican control of both chambers of Congress remains the central factor sustaining the 90.5 percent trader consensus that President Trump will serve through 2026. Recent Democratic initiatives, including articles of impeachment introduced in April and a proposed 25th Amendment fitness commission, have advanced no further than committee because they lack the bipartisan support required for Senate conviction, which historically demands a two-thirds supermajority. No verified reports of resignation, incapacity, or legal disqualifiers have surfaced in the past month, while midterm election dynamics and procedural timelines further constrain any realistic removal path before the end of the year. These institutional and political realities continue to anchor market pricing on continuity in office.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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