Recent SpaceX IPO debut on June 12 under ticker SPCX, which surged and briefly pressured Tesla shares amid investor rotation into Musk’s aerospace bet, remains the dominant near-term driver of TSLA volatility heading into the June 15–19 trading week. The stock closed June 12 at $406.43 after oscillating between roughly $381 and $419 over the prior five sessions, underscoring a market-implied distribution that places the highest probability (> $420 at 32.5%) on a rebound while still assigning notable weight to sub-$375 outcomes. Analyst consensus targets cluster near $400–$410 with a prevailing Hold rating, reflecting tempered expectations around EV demand recovery, elevated 2026 capex of roughly $25 billion, and the pace of Full Self-Driving commercialization. End-of-promotion effects on June 15 and any incremental robotaxi or Semi order updates could serve as the immediate catalysts that shift implied odds across the tightly bunched $375–$420 buckets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTesla (TSLA) closes week of Jun 15 at ___?
Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Jun 15 at ___?
>$420 33%
$410-$415 31%
$390-$395 30%
<$375 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 juin 2026
<$375
18%
$375-$380
11%
$380-$385
11%
$385-$390
10%
$390-$395
30%
$395-$400
9%
$400-$405
9%
$405-$410
9%
$410-$415
31%
$415-$420
8%
>$420
33%
>$420 33%
$410-$415 31%
$390-$395 30%
<$375 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 juin 2026
<$375
$0 Vol.
18%
$375-$380
$0 Vol.
11%
$380-$385
$0 Vol.
11%
$385-$390
$0 Vol.
10%
$390-$395
$0 Vol.
30%
$395-$400
$0 Vol.
9%
$400-$405
$0 Vol.
9%
$405-$410
$0 Vol.
9%
$410-$415
$0 Vol.
31%
$415-$420
$0 Vol.
8%
>$420
$0 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Recent SpaceX IPO debut on June 12 under ticker SPCX, which surged and briefly pressured Tesla shares amid investor rotation into Musk’s aerospace bet, remains the dominant near-term driver of TSLA volatility heading into the June 15–19 trading week. The stock closed June 12 at $406.43 after oscillating between roughly $381 and $419 over the prior five sessions, underscoring a market-implied distribution that places the highest probability (> $420 at 32.5%) on a rebound while still assigning notable weight to sub-$375 outcomes. Analyst consensus targets cluster near $400–$410 with a prevailing Hold rating, reflecting tempered expectations around EV demand recovery, elevated 2026 capex of roughly $25 billion, and the pace of Full Self-Driving commercialization. End-of-promotion effects on June 15 and any incremental robotaxi or Semi order updates could serve as the immediate catalysts that shift implied odds across the tightly bunched $375–$420 buckets.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Jun 12, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
19 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 6:27 PM ETSource de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Recent SpaceX IPO debut on June 12 under ticker SPCX, which surged and briefly pressured Tesla shares amid investor rotation into Musk’s aerospace bet, remains the dominant near-term driver of TSLA volatility heading into the June 15–19 trading week. The stock closed June 12 at $406.43 after oscillating between roughly $381 and $419 over the prior five sessions, underscoring a market-implied distribution that places the highest probability (> $420 at 32.5%) on a rebound while still assigning notable weight to sub-$375 outcomes. Analyst consensus targets cluster near $400–$410 with a prevailing Hold rating, reflecting tempered expectations around EV demand recovery, elevated 2026 capex of roughly $25 billion, and the pace of Full Self-Driving commercialization. End-of-promotion effects on June 15 and any incremental robotaxi or Semi order updates could serve as the immediate catalysts that shift implied odds across the tightly bunched $375–$420 buckets.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$0Date de fin
19 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 6:27 PM ETSource de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent SpaceX IPO debut on June 12 under ticker SPCX, which surged and briefly pressured Tesla shares amid investor rotation into Musk’s aerospace bet, remains the dominant near-term driver of TSLA volatility heading into the June 15–19 trading week. The stock closed June 12 at $406.43 after oscillating between roughly $381 and $419 over the prior five sessions, underscoring a market-implied distribution that places the highest probability (> $420 at 32.5%) on a rebound while still assigning notable weight to sub-$375 outcomes. Analyst consensus targets cluster near $400–$410 with a prevailing Hold rating, reflecting tempered expectations around EV demand recovery, elevated 2026 capex of roughly $25 billion, and the pace of Full Self-Driving commercialization. End-of-promotion effects on June 15 and any incremental robotaxi or Semi order updates could serve as the immediate catalysts that shift implied odds across the tightly bunched $375–$420 buckets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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