Incumbent Republican Jake Ellzey secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote and faces Democrat Danny Minton in the November general election for Texas’s 6th congressional district. The seat sits in the southern Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs and carries a pronounced Republican tilt, reflected in the 2024 presidential results and reaffirmed by nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Ellzey’s substantial fundraising edge and the district’s consistent partisan voting patterns underpin trader consensus around a 90% probability for the Republican nominee. Limited Democratic infrastructure and the absence of recent polling shifts or major controversies have kept the contest noncompetitive. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unanticipated national swing could narrow the margin, though no such catalysts have surfaced in the current cycle.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTX-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
TX-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$35,414 Vol.
$35,414 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
91%
Parti démocrate
9%
$35,414 Vol.
$35,414 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$14,192 Vol.
91%
Parti démocrate
$21,222 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jake Ellzey secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote and faces Democrat Danny Minton in the November general election for Texas’s 6th congressional district. The seat sits in the southern Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs and carries a pronounced Republican tilt, reflected in the 2024 presidential results and reaffirmed by nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Ellzey’s substantial fundraising edge and the district’s consistent partisan voting patterns underpin trader consensus around a 90% probability for the Republican nominee. Limited Democratic infrastructure and the absence of recent polling shifts or major controversies have kept the contest noncompetitive. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unanticipated national swing could narrow the margin, though no such catalysts have surfaced in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$35,414Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jake Ellzey secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote and faces Democrat Danny Minton in the November general election for Texas’s 6th congressional district. The seat sits in the southern Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs and carries a pronounced Republican tilt, reflected in the 2024 presidential results and reaffirmed by nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Ellzey’s substantial fundraising edge and the district’s consistent partisan voting patterns underpin trader consensus around a 90% probability for the Republican nominee. Limited Democratic infrastructure and the absence of recent polling shifts or major controversies have kept the contest noncompetitive. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unanticipated national swing could narrow the margin, though no such catalysts have surfaced in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,414Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jake Ellzey secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote and faces Democrat Danny Minton in the November general election for Texas’s 6th congressional district. The seat sits in the southern Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs and carries a pronounced Republican tilt, reflected in the 2024 presidential results and reaffirmed by nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Ellzey’s substantial fundraising edge and the district’s consistent partisan voting patterns underpin trader consensus around a 90% probability for the Republican nominee. Limited Democratic infrastructure and the absence of recent polling shifts or major controversies have kept the contest noncompetitive. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unanticipated national swing could narrow the margin, though no such catalysts have surfaced in the current cycle.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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