Heightened regional tensions in the Middle East, particularly involving Iran and proxy dynamics in Lebanon, have sustained the U.S. Embassy Beirut on ordered departure status for non-emergency personnel since February 2026. Official alerts through early August 2026 cite ongoing security risks, suspended routine consular services, and repeated advisories for U.S. citizens to depart while commercial flights remain available. The embassy continues limited operations with consular assistance available via email, but no full closure or complete staff evacuation has occurred. Trader assessments of any deadline-based resolution hinge on whether escalation in diplomatic or military postures triggers further drawdowns, versus de-escalation signals that could allow return of personnel. Scheduled regional diplomatic developments or security incidents within the resolution window remain key variables.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLes États-Unis évacuent l'ambassade de Beyrouth d'ici... ?
Les États-Unis évacuent l'ambassade de Beyrouth d'ici... ?
$117,779 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
31 décembre
4%
$117,779 Vol.
31 décembre
$23,677 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Heightened regional tensions in the Middle East, particularly involving Iran and proxy dynamics in Lebanon, have sustained the U.S. Embassy Beirut on ordered departure status for non-emergency personnel since February 2026. Official alerts through early August 2026 cite ongoing security risks, suspended routine consular services, and repeated advisories for U.S. citizens to depart while commercial flights remain available. The embassy continues limited operations with consular assistance available via email, but no full closure or complete staff evacuation has occurred. Trader assessments of any deadline-based resolution hinge on whether escalation in diplomatic or military postures triggers further drawdowns, versus de-escalation signals that could allow return of personnel. Scheduled regional diplomatic developments or security incidents within the resolution window remain key variables.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Marché ouvert : Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$117,779Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Heightened regional tensions in the Middle East, particularly involving Iran and proxy dynamics in Lebanon, have sustained the U.S. Embassy Beirut on ordered departure status for non-emergency personnel since February 2026. Official alerts through early August 2026 cite ongoing security risks, suspended routine consular services, and repeated advisories for U.S. citizens to depart while commercial flights remain available. The embassy continues limited operations with consular assistance available via email, but no full closure or complete staff evacuation has occurred. Trader assessments of any deadline-based resolution hinge on whether escalation in diplomatic or military postures triggers further drawdowns, versus de-escalation signals that could allow return of personnel. Scheduled regional diplomatic developments or security incidents within the resolution window remain key variables.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Volume
$117,779Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Heightened regional tensions in the Middle East, particularly involving Iran and proxy dynamics in Lebanon, have sustained the U.S. Embassy Beirut on ordered departure status for non-emergency personnel since February 2026. Official alerts through early August 2026 cite ongoing security risks, suspended routine consular services, and repeated advisories for U.S. citizens to depart while commercial flights remain available. The embassy continues limited operations with consular assistance available via email, but no full closure or complete staff evacuation has occurred. Trader assessments of any deadline-based resolution hinge on whether escalation in diplomatic or military postures triggers further drawdowns, versus de-escalation signals that could allow return of personnel. Scheduled regional diplomatic developments or security incidents within the resolution window remain key variables.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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