The U.S. administration's decision to recognize Delcy Rodríguez as interim president following Nicolás Maduro's capture in January 2026 has anchored trader expectations against formal recognition of María Corina Machado by year-end. President Trump has publicly stated that Machado lacks the domestic support required to lead Venezuela, opting instead to coordinate with the current interim structure for stability, oil sector access, and gradual electoral guarantees. Recent May interviews show Machado advocating accelerated elections and a planned return to the country, yet administration statements and policy actions have shown no shift toward official endorsement. This approach aligns with historical patterns for interim transitions, sustaining the strong trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% "No" price.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
Oui
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The U.S. administration's decision to recognize Delcy Rodríguez as interim president following Nicolás Maduro's capture in January 2026 has anchored trader expectations against formal recognition of María Corina Machado by year-end. President Trump has publicly stated that Machado lacks the domestic support required to lead Venezuela, opting instead to coordinate with the current interim structure for stability, oil sector access, and gradual electoral guarantees. Recent May interviews show Machado advocating accelerated elections and a planned return to the country, yet administration statements and policy actions have shown no shift toward official endorsement. This approach aligns with historical patterns for interim transitions, sustaining the strong trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% "No" price.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Volume
$3,872Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The U.S. administration's decision to recognize Delcy Rodríguez as interim president following Nicolás Maduro's capture in January 2026 has anchored trader expectations against formal recognition of María Corina Machado by year-end. President Trump has publicly stated that Machado lacks the domestic support required to lead Venezuela, opting instead to coordinate with the current interim structure for stability, oil sector access, and gradual electoral guarantees. Recent May interviews show Machado advocating accelerated elections and a planned return to the country, yet administration statements and policy actions have shown no shift toward official endorsement. This approach aligns with historical patterns for interim transitions, sustaining the strong trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% "No" price.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$3,872Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. administration's decision to recognize Delcy Rodríguez as interim president following Nicolás Maduro's capture in January 2026 has anchored trader expectations against formal recognition of María Corina Machado by year-end. President Trump has publicly stated that Machado lacks the domestic support required to lead Venezuela, opting instead to coordinate with the current interim structure for stability, oil sector access, and gradual electoral guarantees. Recent May interviews show Machado advocating accelerated elections and a planned return to the country, yet administration statements and policy actions have shown no shift toward official endorsement. This approach aligns with historical patterns for interim transitions, sustaining the strong trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% "No" price.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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