US sanctions enforcement, including naval blockades and restrictions on oil exports, combined with ongoing geopolitical tensions and inflation above 40 percent, continue to constrain Iran's foreign currency inflows and support rial depreciation toward multi-million levels against the USD. Recent record lows near or above 2 million rials per dollar reflect persistent dollar shortages and limited non-oil revenue options, even as central bank interventions and any covert sales provide temporary offsets. With leading market ranges clustered tightly between sub-2 million and 3 million, trader consensus highlights uncertainty over sanction intensity, potential diplomatic shifts, and oil revenue fluctuations through year-end. Escalation in enforcement or conflict could push rates higher, while renewed negotiations or eased export access might stabilize or strengthen the rial.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour2,5 - 3,0 M 31%
<2,0 M 29%
2,0 - 2,5M 28%
3,0 - 3,5M 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
<2,0 M
29%
2,0 - 2,5M
28%
2,5 - 3,0 M
31%
3,0 - 3,5M
10%
3,5 - 4,0 M
10%
4,0M+
7%
2,5 - 3,0 M 31%
<2,0 M 29%
2,0 - 2,5M 28%
3,0 - 3,5M 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
<2,0 M
$734 Vol.
29%
2,0 - 2,5M
$0 Vol.
28%
2,5 - 3,0 M
$173 Vol.
31%
3,0 - 3,5M
$0 Vol.
10%
3,5 - 4,0 M
$0 Vol.
10%
4,0M+
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.US sanctions enforcement, including naval blockades and restrictions on oil exports, combined with ongoing geopolitical tensions and inflation above 40 percent, continue to constrain Iran's foreign currency inflows and support rial depreciation toward multi-million levels against the USD. Recent record lows near or above 2 million rials per dollar reflect persistent dollar shortages and limited non-oil revenue options, even as central bank interventions and any covert sales provide temporary offsets. With leading market ranges clustered tightly between sub-2 million and 3 million, trader consensus highlights uncertainty over sanction intensity, potential diplomatic shifts, and oil revenue fluctuations through year-end. Escalation in enforcement or conflict could push rates higher, while renewed negotiations or eased export access might stabilize or strengthen the rial.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Volume
$907Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.US sanctions enforcement, including naval blockades and restrictions on oil exports, combined with ongoing geopolitical tensions and inflation above 40 percent, continue to constrain Iran's foreign currency inflows and support rial depreciation toward multi-million levels against the USD. Recent record lows near or above 2 million rials per dollar reflect persistent dollar shortages and limited non-oil revenue options, even as central bank interventions and any covert sales provide temporary offsets. With leading market ranges clustered tightly between sub-2 million and 3 million, trader consensus highlights uncertainty over sanction intensity, potential diplomatic shifts, and oil revenue fluctuations through year-end. Escalation in enforcement or conflict could push rates higher, while renewed negotiations or eased export access might stabilize or strengthen the rial.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$907Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...US sanctions enforcement, including naval blockades and restrictions on oil exports, combined with ongoing geopolitical tensions and inflation above 40 percent, continue to constrain Iran's foreign currency inflows and support rial depreciation toward multi-million levels against the USD. Recent record lows near or above 2 million rials per dollar reflect persistent dollar shortages and limited non-oil revenue options, even as central bank interventions and any covert sales provide temporary offsets. With leading market ranges clustered tightly between sub-2 million and 3 million, trader consensus highlights uncertainty over sanction intensity, potential diplomatic shifts, and oil revenue fluctuations through year-end. Escalation in enforcement or conflict could push rates higher, while renewed negotiations or eased export access might stabilize or strengthen the rial.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes