Redistricting finalized in late 2025 shifted Utah’s 1st congressional district sharply leftward by concentrating Salt Lake City voters, producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+12 and a Solid Democratic rating from nonpartisan analysts. This open-seat environment, with the prior Republican incumbent moving to another district, has elevated Democratic primary contenders including Ben McAdams and Liban Mohamed ahead of the June 23 primary, while Republican Riley Owen faces limited opposition in a district where recent presidential results favor Democrats by wide margins. Trader pricing reflects these structural changes and the absence of offsetting Republican advantages or late developments that could alter the general-election outlook before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourUT-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
UT-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$27,212 Vol.
$27,212 Vol.
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
83%
Parti républicain
8%
$27,212 Vol.
$27,212 Vol.
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$1,431 Vol.
83%
Parti républicain
$25,782 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting finalized in late 2025 shifted Utah’s 1st congressional district sharply leftward by concentrating Salt Lake City voters, producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+12 and a Solid Democratic rating from nonpartisan analysts. This open-seat environment, with the prior Republican incumbent moving to another district, has elevated Democratic primary contenders including Ben McAdams and Liban Mohamed ahead of the June 23 primary, while Republican Riley Owen faces limited opposition in a district where recent presidential results favor Democrats by wide margins. Trader pricing reflects these structural changes and the absence of offsetting Republican advantages or late developments that could alter the general-election outlook before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volume
$27,212Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting finalized in late 2025 shifted Utah’s 1st congressional district sharply leftward by concentrating Salt Lake City voters, producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+12 and a Solid Democratic rating from nonpartisan analysts. This open-seat environment, with the prior Republican incumbent moving to another district, has elevated Democratic primary contenders including Ben McAdams and Liban Mohamed ahead of the June 23 primary, while Republican Riley Owen faces limited opposition in a district where recent presidential results favor Democrats by wide margins. Trader pricing reflects these structural changes and the absence of offsetting Republican advantages or late developments that could alter the general-election outlook before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,212Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting finalized in late 2025 shifted Utah’s 1st congressional district sharply leftward by concentrating Salt Lake City voters, producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+12 and a Solid Democratic rating from nonpartisan analysts. This open-seat environment, with the prior Republican incumbent moving to another district, has elevated Democratic primary contenders including Ben McAdams and Liban Mohamed ahead of the June 23 primary, while Republican Riley Owen faces limited opposition in a district where recent presidential results favor Democrats by wide margins. Trader pricing reflects these structural changes and the absence of offsetting Republican advantages or late developments that could alter the general-election outlook before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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