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icon for VA-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
Élections·Élections Du 4 Novembre

VA-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre

icon for VA-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
Élections·Élections Du 4 Novembre

VA-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre

$21,111 Vol.

Polymarket

$21,111 Vol.

Parti démocrate

$7,330 Vol.

84%

Parti républicain

$13,781 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee Elaine Luria's decisive August 4, 2026 primary victory over three challengers has positioned her for a rematch against Republican incumbent Jen Kiggans in this competitive Virginia swing district. Luria's prior congressional experience, substantial fundraising edge, and endorsements from prominent state Democrats have consolidated party support ahead of the November general election. Kiggans, unopposed in her primary, benefits from incumbency but faces a district with narrow historical margins and shifting voter dynamics that have contributed to the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome at 84 percent. The race remains subject to standard midterm variables including turnout patterns and late-cycle developments.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,111
Date de fin
4 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee Elaine Luria's decisive August 4, 2026 primary victory over three challengers has positioned her for a rematch against Republican incumbent Jen Kiggans in this competitive Virginia swing district. Luria's prior congressional experience, substantial fundraising edge, and endorsements from prominent state Democrats have consolidated party support ahead of the November general election. Kiggans, unopposed in her primary, benefits from incumbency but faces a district with narrow historical margins and shifting voter dynamics that have contributed to the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome at 84 percent. The race remains subject to standard midterm variables including turnout patterns and late-cycle developments.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,111
Date de fin
4 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Connexes

icon for Le Parti républicain va-t-il remporter le siège de la Chambre VA-06 ?

Le Parti républicain va-t-il remporter le siège de la Chambre VA-06 ?

91%
Oui
icon for Le Parti démocrate remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre VA-01 ?

Le Parti démocrate remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre VA-01 ?

55%
Oui
icon for Le Parti démocrate remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre du MD-02 ?

Le Parti démocrate remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre du MD-02 ?

93%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« VA-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Parti démocrate » à 84%, suivi de « Parti républicain » à 16%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 84¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 84% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « VA-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre » a généré $21.1K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Dec 16, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « VA-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « VA-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre » est « Parti démocrate » à 84%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 84% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Parti républicain » à 16%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « VA-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.