Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads VMA Video of the Year betting at 63% implied probability, driven by her dominant “Life of a Showgirl” era commercial performance, multiple technical nominations, and record prior wins in the category. Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” sits at 23% as the most-nominated artist overall with 11–13 nods, a long-form visual, and her first VMA performance in 23 years as the Sept. 27 opener, though her last Video of the Year victory came decades ago. Bruno Mars (“I Just Might”), Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, and GENER8ION ft. Yung Lean trail with lower odds reflecting fewer precursor signals and more competitive fields. Fan voting closes Sept. 25 ahead of the live Los Angeles ceremony.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVidéo VMA de l'année 2026
Vidéo VMA de l'année 2026
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 57%
Confessions II – Le film (Madonna) 23%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande) 1%
I Just Might (Bruno Mars) 1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
27 sept. 2026
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)
63%
Confessions II – Le film (Madonna)
23%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande)
9%
I Just Might (Bruno Mars)
7%
Storm (Gener8ion avec Yung Lean)
10%
Tears (Sabrina Carpenter)
9%
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 57%
Confessions II – Le film (Madonna) 23%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande) 1%
I Just Might (Bruno Mars) 1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
27 sept. 2026
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)
$135 Vol.
63%
Confessions II – Le film (Madonna)
$65 Vol.
23%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande)
$30 Vol.
9%
I Just Might (Bruno Mars)
$18 Vol.
7%
Storm (Gener8ion avec Yung Lean)
$2 Vol.
10%
Tears (Sabrina Carpenter)
$14 Vol.
9%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads VMA Video of the Year betting at 63% implied probability, driven by her dominant “Life of a Showgirl” era commercial performance, multiple technical nominations, and record prior wins in the category. Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” sits at 23% as the most-nominated artist overall with 11–13 nods, a long-form visual, and her first VMA performance in 23 years as the Sept. 27 opener, though her last Video of the Year victory came decades ago. Bruno Mars (“I Just Might”), Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, and GENER8ION ft. Yung Lean trail with lower odds reflecting fewer precursor signals and more competitive fields. Fan voting closes Sept. 25 ahead of the live Los Angeles ceremony.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
Volume
$264Date de fin
28 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads VMA Video of the Year betting at 63% implied probability, driven by her dominant “Life of a Showgirl” era commercial performance, multiple technical nominations, and record prior wins in the category. Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” sits at 23% as the most-nominated artist overall with 11–13 nods, a long-form visual, and her first VMA performance in 23 years as the Sept. 27 opener, though her last Video of the Year victory came decades ago. Bruno Mars (“I Just Might”), Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, and GENER8ION ft. Yung Lean trail with lower odds reflecting fewer precursor signals and more competitive fields. Fan voting closes Sept. 25 ahead of the live Los Angeles ceremony.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$264Date de fin
28 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads VMA Video of the Year betting at 63% implied probability, driven by her dominant “Life of a Showgirl” era commercial performance, multiple technical nominations, and record prior wins in the category. Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” sits at 23% as the most-nominated artist overall with 11–13 nods, a long-form visual, and her first VMA performance in 23 years as the Sept. 27 opener, though her last Video of the Year victory came decades ago. Bruno Mars (“I Just Might”), Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, and GENER8ION ft. Yung Lean trail with lower odds reflecting fewer precursor signals and more competitive fields. Fan voting closes Sept. 25 ahead of the live Los Angeles ceremony.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
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