Persistent low housing inventory and steady buyer demand in the Chicago metro, amid mortgage rates near 6%, have anchored median home values around the $338K level reported in recent Zillow data through July 2026, with 4.5% year-over-year gains. Trader consensus clusters tightly between the $335K–$340K (35%) and $340K–$345K (27.5%) buckets because near-term resolution on September 30 leaves limited room for large shifts, while seasonal patterns, potential rate movements, and any August economic releases could tip momentum either way. This reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of supply constraints outweighing broader affordability pressures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour335 000 $ - 340 000 $ 35%
340 000 $ - 345 000 $ 28%
330 000 $ - 335 000 $ 16.8%
345 000 $+ 15%
$81,509 Vol.
$81,509 Vol.
<320 k$
1%
320 000 $ - 325 000 $
1%
325 000 $ - 330 000 $
10%
330 000 $ - 335 000 $
17%
335 000 $ - 340 000 $
35%
340 000 $ - 345 000 $
28%
345 000 $+
15%
335 000 $ - 340 000 $ 35%
340 000 $ - 345 000 $ 28%
330 000 $ - 335 000 $ 16.8%
345 000 $+ 15%
$81,509 Vol.
$81,509 Vol.
<320 k$
1%
320 000 $ - 325 000 $
1%
325 000 $ - 330 000 $
10%
330 000 $ - 335 000 $
17%
335 000 $ - 340 000 $
35%
340 000 $ - 345 000 $
28%
345 000 $+
15%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
Marché ouvert : Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent low housing inventory and steady buyer demand in the Chicago metro, amid mortgage rates near 6%, have anchored median home values around the $338K level reported in recent Zillow data through July 2026, with 4.5% year-over-year gains. Trader consensus clusters tightly between the $335K–$340K (35%) and $340K–$345K (27.5%) buckets because near-term resolution on September 30 leaves limited room for large shifts, while seasonal patterns, potential rate movements, and any August economic releases could tip momentum either way. This reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of supply constraints outweighing broader affordability pressures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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