Recent geopolitical tensions from the ongoing conflict with Iran have elevated energy prices and inflation, keeping 30-year mortgage rates near 6.7-6.8% as of mid-August 2026 and limiting declines despite earlier Fed easing. The federal funds rate remains steady at 3.5-3.75%, with the central bank prioritizing inflation control over further cuts amid cooling but still resilient labor data and moderating CPI prints. Mortgage rates track the 10-year Treasury yield closely, which has stayed elevated on these risks. Forecasts from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association point to averages of 6.3-6.5% for the rest of the year, with any resolution in energy markets or clearer disinflation signals representing key swing factors ahead of upcoming FOMC meetings and economic releases. Trader sentiment reflects these persistent macro headwinds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLe taux hypothécaire à 30 ans atteindra-t-il __ en 2026 ?
Le taux hypothécaire à 30 ans atteindra-t-il __ en 2026 ?
$50,730 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
↑ 7,50 %
48%
↑ 7,25 %
50%
↑ 7,00 %
50%
↑ 6,75 %
83%
↓ 6,50 %
40%
↓ 6,25 %
44%
↓ 6,00 %
46%
↓ 5,90 %
18%
↓ 5,70 %
2%
↓ 5,50 %
10%
$50,730 Vol.
↑ 7,50 %
$0 Vol.
48%
↑ 7,25 %
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ 7,00 %
$64 Vol.
50%
↑ 6,75 %
$181 Vol.
83%
↓ 6,50 %
$0 Vol.
40%
↓ 6,25 %
$0 Vol.
44%
↓ 6,00 %
$0 Vol.
46%
↓ 5,90 %
$6,201 Vol.
18%
↓ 5,70 %
$7,209 Vol.
2%
↓ 5,50 %
$72 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Recent geopolitical tensions from the ongoing conflict with Iran have elevated energy prices and inflation, keeping 30-year mortgage rates near 6.7-6.8% as of mid-August 2026 and limiting declines despite earlier Fed easing. The federal funds rate remains steady at 3.5-3.75%, with the central bank prioritizing inflation control over further cuts amid cooling but still resilient labor data and moderating CPI prints. Mortgage rates track the 10-year Treasury yield closely, which has stayed elevated on these risks. Forecasts from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association point to averages of 6.3-6.5% for the rest of the year, with any resolution in energy markets or clearer disinflation signals representing key swing factors ahead of upcoming FOMC meetings and economic releases. Trader sentiment reflects these persistent macro headwinds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 3, 2026, 11:41 AM ET
Volume
$50,730Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Recent geopolitical tensions from the ongoing conflict with Iran have elevated energy prices and inflation, keeping 30-year mortgage rates near 6.7-6.8% as of mid-August 2026 and limiting declines despite earlier Fed easing. The federal funds rate remains steady at 3.5-3.75%, with the central bank prioritizing inflation control over further cuts amid cooling but still resilient labor data and moderating CPI prints. Mortgage rates track the 10-year Treasury yield closely, which has stayed elevated on these risks. Forecasts from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association point to averages of 6.3-6.5% for the rest of the year, with any resolution in energy markets or clearer disinflation signals representing key swing factors ahead of upcoming FOMC meetings and economic releases. Trader sentiment reflects these persistent macro headwinds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Volume
$50,730Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent geopolitical tensions from the ongoing conflict with Iran have elevated energy prices and inflation, keeping 30-year mortgage rates near 6.7-6.8% as of mid-August 2026 and limiting declines despite earlier Fed easing. The federal funds rate remains steady at 3.5-3.75%, with the central bank prioritizing inflation control over further cuts amid cooling but still resilient labor data and moderating CPI prints. Mortgage rates track the 10-year Treasury yield closely, which has stayed elevated on these risks. Forecasts from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association point to averages of 6.3-6.5% for the rest of the year, with any resolution in energy markets or clearer disinflation signals representing key swing factors ahead of upcoming FOMC meetings and economic releases. Trader sentiment reflects these persistent macro headwinds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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