Recent April 2026 Consumer Price Index data, showing a 3.8% year-over-year rise—the highest since May 2023—has sustained upward pressure on 10-year Treasury yields at 4.47%, anchoring the 30-year fixed mortgage rate at 6.36% per Freddie Mac's May 14 weekly average, down just 1 basis point from the prior week. The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% in its April meeting, emphasizing data dependence amid sticky core inflation and solid labor conditions. Market-implied paths from futures and economist forecasts, such as Fannie Mae's projection of 5.7% by year-end, reflect expectations for modest easing if disinflation accelerates, though renewed energy cost spikes pose risks. Traders eye May CPI (early June release) and the June FOMC for pivotal shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLe taux hypothécaire à 30 ans atteindra-t-il __ en 2026 ?
Le taux hypothécaire à 30 ans atteindra-t-il __ en 2026 ?
$49,755 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
↑ 7,00 %
42%
↑ 6,75 %
48%
↑ 6,50 %
75%
↓ 5,90 %
50%
↓ 5,70 %
45%
↓ 5,50 %
47%
$49,755 Vol.
↑ 7,00 %
$26 Vol.
42%
↑ 6,75 %
$118 Vol.
48%
↑ 6,50 %
$6,700 Vol.
75%
↓ 5,90 %
$6,005 Vol.
50%
↓ 5,70 %
$6,769 Vol.
45%
↓ 5,50 %
$25 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Recent April 2026 Consumer Price Index data, showing a 3.8% year-over-year rise—the highest since May 2023—has sustained upward pressure on 10-year Treasury yields at 4.47%, anchoring the 30-year fixed mortgage rate at 6.36% per Freddie Mac's May 14 weekly average, down just 1 basis point from the prior week. The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% in its April meeting, emphasizing data dependence amid sticky core inflation and solid labor conditions. Market-implied paths from futures and economist forecasts, such as Fannie Mae's projection of 5.7% by year-end, reflect expectations for modest easing if disinflation accelerates, though renewed energy cost spikes pose risks. Traders eye May CPI (early June release) and the June FOMC for pivotal shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Volume
$49,755Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Recent April 2026 Consumer Price Index data, showing a 3.8% year-over-year rise—the highest since May 2023—has sustained upward pressure on 10-year Treasury yields at 4.47%, anchoring the 30-year fixed mortgage rate at 6.36% per Freddie Mac's May 14 weekly average, down just 1 basis point from the prior week. The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% in its April meeting, emphasizing data dependence amid sticky core inflation and solid labor conditions. Market-implied paths from futures and economist forecasts, such as Fannie Mae's projection of 5.7% by year-end, reflect expectations for modest easing if disinflation accelerates, though renewed energy cost spikes pose risks. Traders eye May CPI (early June release) and the June FOMC for pivotal shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Volume
$49,755Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent April 2026 Consumer Price Index data, showing a 3.8% year-over-year rise—the highest since May 2023—has sustained upward pressure on 10-year Treasury yields at 4.47%, anchoring the 30-year fixed mortgage rate at 6.36% per Freddie Mac's May 14 weekly average, down just 1 basis point from the prior week. The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% in its April meeting, emphasizing data dependence amid sticky core inflation and solid labor conditions. Market-implied paths from futures and economist forecasts, such as Fannie Mae's projection of 5.7% by year-end, reflect expectations for modest easing if disinflation accelerates, though renewed energy cost spikes pose risks. Traders eye May CPI (early June release) and the June FOMC for pivotal shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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