Recent data from Zillow and Redfin show Chicago metro home values near $338,000 as of late July 2026, reflecting 4–5% year-over-year appreciation amid persistently low inventory and resilient buyer demand despite mortgage rates above 6%. Tight supply, seasonal summer momentum, and local economic stability have kept upward pressure on prices, concentrating trader consensus on the $335K–$345K range. The narrow spread between the two leading buckets highlights uncertainty over whether modest near-term gains will push the median above $340K by September 30, with key swing factors including any shifts in inventory releases or broader rate-sensitive demand.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour335 000 $ - 340 000 $ 35%
340 000 $ - 345 000 $ 28%
330 000 $ - 335 000 $ 16.8%
345 000 $+ 15%
$81,509 Vol.
$81,509 Vol.
<320 k$
1%
320 000 $ - 325 000 $
1%
325 000 $ - 330 000 $
9%
330 000 $ - 335 000 $
17%
335 000 $ - 340 000 $
35%
340 000 $ - 345 000 $
28%
345 000 $+
15%
335 000 $ - 340 000 $ 35%
340 000 $ - 345 000 $ 28%
330 000 $ - 335 000 $ 16.8%
345 000 $+ 15%
$81,509 Vol.
$81,509 Vol.
<320 k$
1%
320 000 $ - 325 000 $
1%
325 000 $ - 330 000 $
9%
330 000 $ - 335 000 $
17%
335 000 $ - 340 000 $
35%
340 000 $ - 345 000 $
28%
345 000 $+
15%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
Marché ouvert : Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent data from Zillow and Redfin show Chicago metro home values near $338,000 as of late July 2026, reflecting 4–5% year-over-year appreciation amid persistently low inventory and resilient buyer demand despite mortgage rates above 6%. Tight supply, seasonal summer momentum, and local economic stability have kept upward pressure on prices, concentrating trader consensus on the $335K–$345K range. The narrow spread between the two leading buckets highlights uncertainty over whether modest near-term gains will push the median above $340K by September 30, with key swing factors including any shifts in inventory releases or broader rate-sensitive demand.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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