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icon for Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à New York le 30 juin ?
Économie·Immobilier

Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à New York le 30 juin ?

icon for Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à New York le 30 juin ?
Économie·Immobilier

Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à New York le 30 juin ?

606 000 $ - 613 000 $ 44%

613 000 $ - 620 000 $ 33%

>620 000 $ 13%

599 000 $ - 606 000 $ 9%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

606 000 $ - 613 000 $ 44%

613 000 $ - 620 000 $ 33%

>620 000 $ 13%

599 000 $ - 606 000 $ 9%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

599 000 $ - 606 000 $

$502 Vol.

9%

<585 000 $

$77 Vol.

6%

606 000 $ - 613 000 $

$135 Vol.

44%

585 000 $ - 592 000 $

$77 Vol.

6%

592k$ - 599k$

$86 Vol.

5%

613 000 $ - 620 000 $

$90 Vol.

33%

>620 000 $

$79 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)Recent median sale prices in New York City reached $876,000 through May 2026 per Redfin data, reflecting 3.0% year-over-year gains amid mortgage rates near 6.3% and constrained inventory that continues to support values despite elevated carrying costs. Zillow’s latest home value index for the metro area stood at $817,745 as of May 31, 2026, up 4.2% annually, while broader economic signals including steady labor conditions and limited new supply have kept upward pressure modest rather than accelerating. With the June 30 resolution approaching, trader-implied odds clustering tightly around the $606,000–$620,000 range highlight uncertainty over whether seasonal or final data releases will tip the outcome higher or produce a modest pullback, underscoring how short-term inventory shifts and rate expectations remain key swing factors in this narrow contest.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)
Volume
$1,047
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 2, 2026, 2:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)Recent median sale prices in New York City reached $876,000 through May 2026 per Redfin data, reflecting 3.0% year-over-year gains amid mortgage rates near 6.3% and constrained inventory that continues to support values despite elevated carrying costs. Zillow’s latest home value index for the metro area stood at $817,745 as of May 31, 2026, up 4.2% annually, while broader economic signals including steady labor conditions and limited new supply have kept upward pressure modest rather than accelerating. With the June 30 resolution approaching, trader-implied odds clustering tightly around the $606,000–$620,000 range highlight uncertainty over whether seasonal or final data releases will tip the outcome higher or produce a modest pullback, underscoring how short-term inventory shifts and rate expectations remain key swing factors in this narrow contest.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)
Volume
$1,047
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 2, 2026, 2:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)

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Questions fréquentes

« Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à New York le 30 juin ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 606 000 $ - 613 000 $ » à 44%, suivi de « 613 000 $ - 620 000 $ » à 33%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 44¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à New York le 30 juin ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jun 2, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à New York le 30 juin ? », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à New York le 30 juin ? » est « 606 000 $ - 613 000 $ » à 44%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 613 000 $ - 620 000 $ » à 33%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à New York le 30 juin ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.