Skip to main content
icon for Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à Miami le 30 juin ?
Économie·Parcl

Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à Miami le 30 juin ?

icon for Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à Miami le 30 juin ?
Économie·Parcl

Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à Miami le 30 juin ?

1,138 M$ - 1,171 M$ 56%

1,105 M$ - 1,138 M$ 21%

1,171 M$ - 1,204 M$ 9%

1,072 M$ - 1,105 M$ 7%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

1,138 M$ - 1,171 M$ 56%

1,105 M$ - 1,138 M$ 21%

1,171 M$ - 1,204 M$ 9%

1,072 M$ - 1,105 M$ 7%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

<1,072 M$

$70 Vol.

6%

1,072 M$ - 1,105 M$

$70 Vol.

7%

1,105 M$ - 1,138 M$

$70 Vol.

21%

1,138 M$ - 1,171 M$

$78 Vol.

56%

1,171 M$ - 1,204 M$

$72 Vol.

9%

1,204 M$ - 1,237 M$

$70 Vol.

7%

>1,237 M$

$70 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/39)Recent data indicate Miami-area median home values have stabilized near $580K–$652K with flat-to-slightly negative year-over-year changes through May 2026, reflecting higher mortgage rates, elevated insurance costs, and rising inventory that have tempered demand. Trader consensus around the $1.138M–$1.171M band (60% implied probability) aligns with expectations for modest near-term support from projected rate easing toward 5.8% by year-end, ongoing inflows from high-tax states, and luxury-segment resilience amid cash buyers. With resolution just weeks away, limited additional data releases before June 30 reduce volatility, though any acceleration in listings or Fed signals could shift probabilities within the narrow contested ranges.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/39)
Volume
$501
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/39)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/39)Recent data indicate Miami-area median home values have stabilized near $580K–$652K with flat-to-slightly negative year-over-year changes through May 2026, reflecting higher mortgage rates, elevated insurance costs, and rising inventory that have tempered demand. Trader consensus around the $1.138M–$1.171M band (60% implied probability) aligns with expectations for modest near-term support from projected rate easing toward 5.8% by year-end, ongoing inflows from high-tax states, and luxury-segment resilience amid cash buyers. With resolution just weeks away, limited additional data releases before June 30 reduce volatility, though any acceleration in listings or Fed signals could shift probabilities within the narrow contested ranges.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/39)
Volume
$501
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/39)

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à Miami le 30 juin ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 1,138 M$ - 1,171 M$ » à 56%, suivi de « 1,105 M$ - 1,138 M$ » à 21%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 56¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 56% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à Miami le 30 juin ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jun 3, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à Miami le 30 juin ? », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à Miami le 30 juin ? » est « 1,138 M$ - 1,171 M$ » à 56%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 56% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 1,105 M$ - 1,138 M$ » à 21%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à Miami le 30 juin ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.