Recent diplomatic momentum between the Trump administration and Moscow has stalled since the August 2025 Alaska summit, with direct talks on Ukraine breaking down over territorial issues and no new high-level meeting scheduled for 2026. A July 2026 phone call produced an agreement to maintain contacts "in the near future," yet European leaders have intensified efforts to secure a role in any future negotiations amid ongoing Russian missile strikes and limited U.S. follow-through. Trader consensus places the highest probability on no meeting by year-end, reflecting these procedural delays and the absence of announced venues. China leads among potential locations due to its established neutral-host role in other great-power engagements, while U.S. or European sites remain distant given current frictions and institutional constraints on rapid summit planning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOù Trump et Poutine se rencontreront-ils en 2026 ?
Où Trump et Poutine se rencontreront-ils en 2026 ?
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre 62%
China 33%
United States 4.1%
Gulf country <1%
$493,837 Vol.
$493,837 Vol.
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre
62%
China
33%
United States
4%
Gulf country
1%
Other
1%
Russia
1%
Other EU country
1%
Turkey
1%
Switzerland
<1%
Finland
<1%
Belarus
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre 62%
China 33%
United States 4.1%
Gulf country <1%
$493,837 Vol.
$493,837 Vol.
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre
62%
China
33%
United States
4%
Gulf country
1%
Other
1%
Russia
1%
Other EU country
1%
Turkey
1%
Switzerland
<1%
Finland
<1%
Belarus
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent diplomatic momentum between the Trump administration and Moscow has stalled since the August 2025 Alaska summit, with direct talks on Ukraine breaking down over territorial issues and no new high-level meeting scheduled for 2026. A July 2026 phone call produced an agreement to maintain contacts "in the near future," yet European leaders have intensified efforts to secure a role in any future negotiations amid ongoing Russian missile strikes and limited U.S. follow-through. Trader consensus places the highest probability on no meeting by year-end, reflecting these procedural delays and the absence of announced venues. China leads among potential locations due to its established neutral-host role in other great-power engagements, while U.S. or European sites remain distant given current frictions and institutional constraints on rapid summit planning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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