Recent Kremlin statements confirm that Presidents Trump and Putin discussed a possible trilateral summit with Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the APEC leaders’ meeting in Shenzhen, China, scheduled for November 18-19. Russian officials have repeatedly highlighted this venue as a practical opportunity, aligning with ongoing U.S.-Russia diplomatic contacts aimed at Ukraine negotiations. Trader consensus has therefore placed China at the front of the field. Uncertainty persists because the White House has not yet confirmed Trump’s attendance or finalized bilateral arrangements, supporting elevated probability on no meeting occurring before year-end. Lower odds on the United States, Gulf states, or European venues reflect the absence of comparable scheduled multilateral events or recent diplomatic signals pointing elsewhere.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourChina 56%
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre 34%
United States 4.7%
Gulf country 1.8%
$1,068,844 Vol.
$1,068,844 Vol.
China
56%
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre
34%
United States
5%
Gulf country
2%
Other
2%
Russia
2%
Belarus
1%
Turkey
1%
Switzerland
1%
South Korea
1%
Finland
1%
Japan
1%
Other EU country
<1%
Australia
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
China 56%
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre 34%
United States 4.7%
Gulf country 1.8%
$1,068,844 Vol.
$1,068,844 Vol.
China
56%
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre
34%
United States
5%
Gulf country
2%
Other
2%
Russia
2%
Belarus
1%
Turkey
1%
Switzerland
1%
South Korea
1%
Finland
1%
Japan
1%
Other EU country
<1%
Australia
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent Kremlin statements confirm that Presidents Trump and Putin discussed a possible trilateral summit with Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the APEC leaders’ meeting in Shenzhen, China, scheduled for November 18-19. Russian officials have repeatedly highlighted this venue as a practical opportunity, aligning with ongoing U.S.-Russia diplomatic contacts aimed at Ukraine negotiations. Trader consensus has therefore placed China at the front of the field. Uncertainty persists because the White House has not yet confirmed Trump’s attendance or finalized bilateral arrangements, supporting elevated probability on no meeting occurring before year-end. Lower odds on the United States, Gulf states, or European venues reflect the absence of comparable scheduled multilateral events or recent diplomatic signals pointing elsewhere.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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