Recent statements from the Kremlin and White House confirm no plans for a Trump-Putin call or summit in the near term, with Ukraine mediation stalled and U.S. envoys lacking scheduled Russia visits. This absence of active bilateral channels, following 2025 Alaska talks and a canceled Budapest proposal, underpins the leading 61% probability of no meeting by year-end. Trader positioning on China reflects Beijing's recent hosting of both leaders separately in May 2026 and its role in parallel diplomacy, while lower odds on Russia, Gulf states, or the U.S. stem from lack of confirmed venues or invitations amid ongoing geopolitical constraints.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOù Trump et Poutine se rencontreront-ils en 2026 ?
Où Trump et Poutine se rencontreront-ils en 2026 ?
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre 61%
China 20%
Russia 5%
Gulf country 5%
$48,275 Vol.
$48,275 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre
61%
China
20%
Russia
5%
Gulf country
5%
United States
5%
Turkey
2%
Belarus
2%
Switzerland
2%
Other
1%
Other EU country
1%
South Korea
1%
Ukraine
1%
Finland
1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre 61%
China 20%
Russia 5%
Gulf country 5%
$48,275 Vol.
$48,275 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre
$6,312 Vol.
61%
China
$10,324 Vol.
20%
Russia
$3,096 Vol.
5%
Gulf country
$2,215 Vol.
5%
United States
$2,337 Vol.
5%
Turkey
$3,232 Vol.
2%
Belarus
$2,737 Vol.
2%
Switzerland
$2,740 Vol.
2%
Other
$3,193 Vol.
1%
Other EU country
$2,197 Vol.
1%
South Korea
$1,943 Vol.
1%
Ukraine
$1,967 Vol.
1%
Finland
$2,104 Vol.
1%
Japan
$1,963 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$1,914 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent statements from the Kremlin and White House confirm no plans for a Trump-Putin call or summit in the near term, with Ukraine mediation stalled and U.S. envoys lacking scheduled Russia visits. This absence of active bilateral channels, following 2025 Alaska talks and a canceled Budapest proposal, underpins the leading 61% probability of no meeting by year-end. Trader positioning on China reflects Beijing's recent hosting of both leaders separately in May 2026 and its role in parallel diplomacy, while lower odds on Russia, Gulf states, or the U.S. stem from lack of confirmed venues or invitations amid ongoing geopolitical constraints.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volume
$48,275Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent statements from the Kremlin and White House confirm no plans for a Trump-Putin call or summit in the near term, with Ukraine mediation stalled and U.S. envoys lacking scheduled Russia visits. This absence of active bilateral channels, following 2025 Alaska talks and a canceled Budapest proposal, underpins the leading 61% probability of no meeting by year-end. Trader positioning on China reflects Beijing's recent hosting of both leaders separately in May 2026 and its role in parallel diplomacy, while lower odds on Russia, Gulf states, or the U.S. stem from lack of confirmed venues or invitations amid ongoing geopolitical constraints.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$48,275Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent statements from the Kremlin and White House confirm no plans for a Trump-Putin call or summit in the near term, with Ukraine mediation stalled and U.S. envoys lacking scheduled Russia visits. This absence of active bilateral channels, following 2025 Alaska talks and a canceled Budapest proposal, underpins the leading 61% probability of no meeting by year-end. Trader positioning on China reflects Beijing's recent hosting of both leaders separately in May 2026 and its role in parallel diplomacy, while lower odds on Russia, Gulf states, or the U.S. stem from lack of confirmed venues or invitations amid ongoing geopolitical constraints.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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