Google's Gemini models, particularly variants with Deep Think capabilities, have demonstrated leading performance on advanced mathematical reasoning benchmarks such as IMO-level problems, FrontierMath, and AIME 2025, establishing trader consensus around its 62.5% implied probability for the best math AI by end of June. Recent DeepMind releases and strong results in multi-step scientific inquiry and competition math have reinforced this edge over rivals. Anthropic's Claude Opus series holds at 17% due to consistent technical accuracy but trails in specialized math leaderboards, while OpenAI's GPT-5 family at 12.5% excels broadly yet shows slightly less dominance in pure reasoning tasks. With resolution imminent, any late benchmark updates or model drops could still influence outcomes amid converging frontier capabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWhich company has the best Math AI model end of June?
Which company has the best Math AI model end of June?
Google 63%
Anthropic 18%
OpenAI 13%
Z.ai <1%
$220,021 Vol.
$220,021 Vol.
30 juin 2026
63%
Anthropic
18%
OpenAI
13%
Z.ai
1%
Moonshot
1%
Alibaba
<1%
xAI
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Meta
<1%
Baidu
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Google 63%
Anthropic 18%
OpenAI 13%
Z.ai <1%
$220,021 Vol.
$220,021 Vol.
30 juin 2026
$36,778 Vol.
63%
Anthropic
$64,218 Vol.
18%
OpenAI
$23,903 Vol.
13%
Z.ai
$15,045 Vol.
1%
Moonshot
$12,932 Vol.
1%
Alibaba
$14,890 Vol.
<1%
xAI
$14,650 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$6,400 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$2,346 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$5,734 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$2,769 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$9,130 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$3,097 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$4,617 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$3,512 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Google's Gemini models, particularly variants with Deep Think capabilities, have demonstrated leading performance on advanced mathematical reasoning benchmarks such as IMO-level problems, FrontierMath, and AIME 2025, establishing trader consensus around its 62.5% implied probability for the best math AI by end of June. Recent DeepMind releases and strong results in multi-step scientific inquiry and competition math have reinforced this edge over rivals. Anthropic's Claude Opus series holds at 17% due to consistent technical accuracy but trails in specialized math leaderboards, while OpenAI's GPT-5 family at 12.5% excels broadly yet shows slightly less dominance in pure reasoning tasks. With resolution imminent, any late benchmark updates or model drops could still influence outcomes amid converging frontier capabilities.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Marché ouvert : May 26, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Volume
$220,021Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 26, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Google's Gemini models, particularly variants with Deep Think capabilities, have demonstrated leading performance on advanced mathematical reasoning benchmarks such as IMO-level problems, FrontierMath, and AIME 2025, establishing trader consensus around its 62.5% implied probability for the best math AI by end of June. Recent DeepMind releases and strong results in multi-step scientific inquiry and competition math have reinforced this edge over rivals. Anthropic's Claude Opus series holds at 17% due to consistent technical accuracy but trails in specialized math leaderboards, while OpenAI's GPT-5 family at 12.5% excels broadly yet shows slightly less dominance in pure reasoning tasks. With resolution imminent, any late benchmark updates or model drops could still influence outcomes amid converging frontier capabilities.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$220,021Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 26, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's Gemini models, particularly variants with Deep Think capabilities, have demonstrated leading performance on advanced mathematical reasoning benchmarks such as IMO-level problems, FrontierMath, and AIME 2025, establishing trader consensus around its 62.5% implied probability for the best math AI by end of June. Recent DeepMind releases and strong results in multi-step scientific inquiry and competition math have reinforced this edge over rivals. Anthropic's Claude Opus series holds at 17% due to consistent technical accuracy but trails in specialized math leaderboards, while OpenAI's GPT-5 family at 12.5% excels broadly yet shows slightly less dominance in pure reasoning tasks. With resolution imminent, any late benchmark updates or model drops could still influence outcomes amid converging frontier capabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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