Anthropic’s commanding lead on Text Arena math benchmarks, reflected in the 70.5% market-implied odds, stems from its Claude Fable 5, Opus 4.6, and related models consistently topping leaderboards in mathematical reasoning and competition-style evaluations as of mid-August 2026. Recent progress by an unreleased Anthropic model on the Riemann hypothesis, announced August 11, further reinforces trader confidence in the company’s frontier math capabilities. OpenAI trails at 15.5% amid strong but secondary GPT-5.x performance, while Google, DeepSeek, and others register single-digit odds amid limited recent math-specific gains. With October resolution approaching, any new model releases or benchmark updates from competitors could still shift sentiment before final rankings solidify.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAnthropic 73%
OpenAI 16%
Google 8.0%
DeepSeek 4.7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 oct. 2026
Anthropic
73%
OpenAI
16%
8%
DeepSeek
5%
Xiaomi
3%
Alibaba
3%
Tencent
2%
Meta
2%
Meituan
2%
Amazon
2%
SpaceXAI
2%
Moonshot
2%
StepFun
2%
Z.ai
1%
Nvidia
1%
MiniMax
1%
ByteDance
1%
Mistral
1%
Microsoft
1%
Baidu
1%
Anthropic 73%
OpenAI 16%
Google 8.0%
DeepSeek 4.7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 oct. 2026
Anthropic
$821 Vol.
73%
OpenAI
$230 Vol.
16%
$170 Vol.
8%
DeepSeek
$228 Vol.
5%
Xiaomi
$218 Vol.
3%
Alibaba
$93 Vol.
3%
Tencent
$181 Vol.
2%
Meta
$103 Vol.
2%
Meituan
$142 Vol.
2%
Amazon
$177 Vol.
2%
SpaceXAI
$95 Vol.
2%
Moonshot
$93 Vol.
2%
StepFun
$142 Vol.
2%
Z.ai
$124 Vol.
1%
Nvidia
$145 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$162 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$149 Vol.
1%
Mistral
$184 Vol.
1%
Microsoft
$124 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$124 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s commanding lead on Text Arena math benchmarks, reflected in the 70.5% market-implied odds, stems from its Claude Fable 5, Opus 4.6, and related models consistently topping leaderboards in mathematical reasoning and competition-style evaluations as of mid-August 2026. Recent progress by an unreleased Anthropic model on the Riemann hypothesis, announced August 11, further reinforces trader confidence in the company’s frontier math capabilities. OpenAI trails at 15.5% amid strong but secondary GPT-5.x performance, while Google, DeepSeek, and others register single-digit odds amid limited recent math-specific gains. With October resolution approaching, any new model releases or benchmark updates from competitors could still shift sentiment before final rankings solidify.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
Volume
$3,706Date de fin
31 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s commanding lead on Text Arena math benchmarks, reflected in the 70.5% market-implied odds, stems from its Claude Fable 5, Opus 4.6, and related models consistently topping leaderboards in mathematical reasoning and competition-style evaluations as of mid-August 2026. Recent progress by an unreleased Anthropic model on the Riemann hypothesis, announced August 11, further reinforces trader confidence in the company’s frontier math capabilities. OpenAI trails at 15.5% amid strong but secondary GPT-5.x performance, while Google, DeepSeek, and others register single-digit odds amid limited recent math-specific gains. With October resolution approaching, any new model releases or benchmark updates from competitors could still shift sentiment before final rankings solidify.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$3,706Date de fin
31 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s commanding lead on Text Arena math benchmarks, reflected in the 70.5% market-implied odds, stems from its Claude Fable 5, Opus 4.6, and related models consistently topping leaderboards in mathematical reasoning and competition-style evaluations as of mid-August 2026. Recent progress by an unreleased Anthropic model on the Riemann hypothesis, announced August 11, further reinforces trader confidence in the company’s frontier math capabilities. OpenAI trails at 15.5% amid strong but secondary GPT-5.x performance, while Google, DeepSeek, and others register single-digit odds amid limited recent math-specific gains. With October resolution approaching, any new model releases or benchmark updates from competitors could still shift sentiment before final rankings solidify.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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