Recent OpenAI announcements that internal AI agents solved the Navier-Stokes Millennium Prize Problem in under 88 hours using multi-agent workflows and Lean formalization have intensified trader focus on remaining problems. This breakthrough, building on Anthropic's August progress tightening Riemann hypothesis bounds to 67.2%, underscores accelerating large language model capabilities in rigorous proof generation. With Hodge Conjecture leading at 31.0% and "no solution by end-2027" nearly tied at 30.5%, markets reflect uncertainty over whether algebraic geometry challenges will yield next or if verification and scaling barriers push timelines beyond 2027. Lower odds on P versus NP and Yang-Mills highlight their perceived computational and theoretical hurdles relative to Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConjecture de Hodge 31%
Aucune solution d'ici le 31 décembre 2027 31%
Birch et Swinnerton-Dyer 20%
Hypothèse de Riemann 14%
Conjecture de Hodge
31%
Aucune solution d'ici le 31 décembre 2027
31%
Birch et Swinnerton-Dyer
20%
Hypothèse de Riemann
14%
P contre NP
6%
Yang-Mills
5%
Conjecture de Hodge 31%
Aucune solution d'ici le 31 décembre 2027 31%
Birch et Swinnerton-Dyer 20%
Hypothèse de Riemann 14%
Conjecture de Hodge
31%
Aucune solution d'ici le 31 décembre 2027
31%
Birch et Swinnerton-Dyer
20%
Hypothèse de Riemann
14%
P contre NP
6%
Yang-Mills
5%
If no eligible AI lab announces a solution to a qualifying problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No solution by Dec 31, 2027". If solutions to two or more qualifying problems are announced on the same calendar day (ET), this market will resolve to the problem whose name, as listed below, comes first in alphabetical order.
The qualifying problems are, in alphabetical order, the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, the Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP, the Riemann Hypothesis, and the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 3:43 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...If no eligible AI lab announces a solution to a qualifying problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No solution by Dec 31, 2027". If solutions to two or more qualifying problems are announced on the same calendar day (ET), this market will resolve to the problem whose name, as listed below, comes first in alphabetical order.
The qualifying problems are, in alphabetical order, the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, the Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP, the Riemann Hypothesis, and the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent OpenAI announcements that internal AI agents solved the Navier-Stokes Millennium Prize Problem in under 88 hours using multi-agent workflows and Lean formalization have intensified trader focus on remaining problems. This breakthrough, building on Anthropic's August progress tightening Riemann hypothesis bounds to 67.2%, underscores accelerating large language model capabilities in rigorous proof generation. With Hodge Conjecture leading at 31.0% and "no solution by end-2027" nearly tied at 30.5%, markets reflect uncertainty over whether algebraic geometry challenges will yield next or if verification and scaling barriers push timelines beyond 2027. Lower odds on P versus NP and Yang-Mills highlight their perceived computational and theoretical hurdles relative to Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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