Democrats currently hold a narrow 24-26 deficit in governorships heading into the November 2026 midterms, with 36 races on the ballot evenly split between the parties’ 18 seats each. Trader pricing reflects the structural map and recent nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, which show multiple Democratic-held seats as safe or likely while identifying competitive openings and lean-Democratic contests in states including Michigan and Wisconsin. Strong Democratic incumbents in large states and several open seats rated favorably for the party provide a path to net gains, whereas Republicans defend a modest numerical edge but face fewer clear pickup opportunities. Polling in individual races and primary outcomes through mid-August have reinforced this positioning without producing decisive shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourParti démocrate 52%
Parti républicain 34%
Égalité 15%

Parti républicain
34%

Parti démocrate
52%
Égalité
15%
Parti démocrate 52%
Parti républicain 34%
Égalité 15%

Parti républicain
34%

Parti démocrate
52%
Égalité
15%
This market will resolve according to the party, between the Republican Party and the Democratic Party, that holds the most US governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
If the Republican Party and the Democratic Party hold the same number of governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections, this market will resolve to “Tie”.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Aug 18, 2026, 3:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party, between the Republican Party and the Democratic Party, that holds the most US governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
If the Republican Party and the Democratic Party hold the same number of governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections, this market will resolve to “Tie”.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Democrats currently hold a narrow 24-26 deficit in governorships heading into the November 2026 midterms, with 36 races on the ballot evenly split between the parties’ 18 seats each. Trader pricing reflects the structural map and recent nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, which show multiple Democratic-held seats as safe or likely while identifying competitive openings and lean-Democratic contests in states including Michigan and Wisconsin. Strong Democratic incumbents in large states and several open seats rated favorably for the party provide a path to net gains, whereas Republicans defend a modest numerical edge but face fewer clear pickup opportunities. Polling in individual races and primary outcomes through mid-August have reinforced this positioning without producing decisive shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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