Petr Yan leads trader consensus at 65% implied probability for Merab Dvalishvili’s next bout due to the UFC’s commitment to an immediate bantamweight title trilogy following Yan’s unanimous decision victory at UFC 323 in December 2025. Recent statements from both fighters confirm the matchup is targeted for summer 2026, likely August, after Merab recovers from injuries sustained in that fight and a potential non-title bout with Frankie Edgar in May. Umar Nurmagomedov sits at 45% as a stylistic rival and former title challenger, though Dvalishvili has previously ruled out that pairing in the short term. Cory Sandhagen and Deiveson Figueiredo trail at 39% and 26% respectively, reflecting their strong recent form and division positioning, while lower-probability names like Sean O’Malley remain distant due to scheduling and ranking considerations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPetr Yan 85%
Umar Nurmagomedov 46.2%
Deiveson Figueiredo 30.5%
Sean O'Malley 3.8%
$14,204 Vol.
$14,204 Vol.
Petr Yan
68%
Umar Nurmagomedov
46%
Deiveson Figueiredo
30%
Sean O'Malley
4%
Payton Talbott
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Song Yadong
1%
Rob Font
1%
Pedro Munhoz
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
28%
Cory Sandhagen
27%
Petr Yan 85%
Umar Nurmagomedov 46.2%
Deiveson Figueiredo 30.5%
Sean O'Malley 3.8%
$14,204 Vol.
$14,204 Vol.
Petr Yan
68%
Umar Nurmagomedov
46%
Deiveson Figueiredo
30%
Sean O'Malley
4%
Payton Talbott
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Song Yadong
1%
Rob Font
1%
Pedro Munhoz
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
28%
Cory Sandhagen
27%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Petr Yan leads trader consensus at 65% implied probability for Merab Dvalishvili’s next bout due to the UFC’s commitment to an immediate bantamweight title trilogy following Yan’s unanimous decision victory at UFC 323 in December 2025. Recent statements from both fighters confirm the matchup is targeted for summer 2026, likely August, after Merab recovers from injuries sustained in that fight and a potential non-title bout with Frankie Edgar in May. Umar Nurmagomedov sits at 45% as a stylistic rival and former title challenger, though Dvalishvili has previously ruled out that pairing in the short term. Cory Sandhagen and Deiveson Figueiredo trail at 39% and 26% respectively, reflecting their strong recent form and division positioning, while lower-probability names like Sean O’Malley remain distant due to scheduling and ranking considerations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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