The dominant 98.6% implied probability on no player completing a women's calendar Grand Slam in 2026 reflects the immense physical and tactical demands of sweeping the Australian Open, French Open, Wimbledon, and US Open across hard courts, clay, and grass in one season. Historical precedent shows this feat has not occurred since Steffi Graf in 1988, and the current depth of the WTA tour—with multiple players capable of claiming majors—further reduces the odds. Elena Rybakina at 0.9% stands out due to her powerful serve and recent consistency, yet even she would need flawless health, surface-specific adjustments, and favorable draws to overcome rivals. An injury-free run combined with peak form on every surface remains the primary scenario that could realistically alter these odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$1,573,692 Vol.
$1,573,692 Vol.
Aucun
99%
Elena Rybakina
1%
$1,573,692 Vol.
$1,573,692 Vol.
Aucun
99%
Elena Rybakina
1%
This market resolves to the single woman player who wins the Women's Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Women's Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for any listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka wins the 2026 Australian Open but loses in the first round of 2026 French Open) this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Women' Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 6, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market resolves to the single woman player who wins the Women's Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Women's Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for any listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka wins the 2026 Australian Open but loses in the first round of 2026 French Open) this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Women' Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The dominant 98.6% implied probability on no player completing a women's calendar Grand Slam in 2026 reflects the immense physical and tactical demands of sweeping the Australian Open, French Open, Wimbledon, and US Open across hard courts, clay, and grass in one season. Historical precedent shows this feat has not occurred since Steffi Graf in 1988, and the current depth of the WTA tour—with multiple players capable of claiming majors—further reduces the odds. Elena Rybakina at 0.9% stands out due to her powerful serve and recent consistency, yet even she would need flawless health, surface-specific adjustments, and favorable draws to overcome rivals. An injury-free run combined with peak form on every surface remains the primary scenario that could realistically alter these odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes