Mark Pocan’s long tenure as the Democratic incumbent in Wisconsin’s 2nd district, combined with the area’s consistent Democratic voting patterns around Madison and surrounding counties, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. The district carries a heavily Democratic partisan voting index, and Pocan secured roughly 70 percent in the prior cycle with minimal opposition. Ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and fundraising. The August 11 Democratic primary, featuring Pocan against a lesser-known challenger, is expected to clear the path for the general election. A late scandal, health development, or national environment producing an unprecedented Republican surge could theoretically alter the outcome, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWI-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
WI-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$99,749 Vol.
$99,749 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
2%
$99,749 Vol.
$99,749 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$60,468 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$39,281 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Pocan’s long tenure as the Democratic incumbent in Wisconsin’s 2nd district, combined with the area’s consistent Democratic voting patterns around Madison and surrounding counties, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. The district carries a heavily Democratic partisan voting index, and Pocan secured roughly 70 percent in the prior cycle with minimal opposition. Ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and fundraising. The August 11 Democratic primary, featuring Pocan against a lesser-known challenger, is expected to clear the path for the general election. A late scandal, health development, or national environment producing an unprecedented Republican surge could theoretically alter the outcome, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$99,749Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Pocan’s long tenure as the Democratic incumbent in Wisconsin’s 2nd district, combined with the area’s consistent Democratic voting patterns around Madison and surrounding counties, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. The district carries a heavily Democratic partisan voting index, and Pocan secured roughly 70 percent in the prior cycle with minimal opposition. Ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and fundraising. The August 11 Democratic primary, featuring Pocan against a lesser-known challenger, is expected to clear the path for the general election. A late scandal, health development, or national environment producing an unprecedented Republican surge could theoretically alter the outcome, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$99,749Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Pocan’s long tenure as the Democratic incumbent in Wisconsin’s 2nd district, combined with the area’s consistent Democratic voting patterns around Madison and surrounding counties, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. The district carries a heavily Democratic partisan voting index, and Pocan secured roughly 70 percent in the prior cycle with minimal opposition. Ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and fundraising. The August 11 Democratic primary, featuring Pocan against a lesser-known challenger, is expected to clear the path for the general election. A late scandal, health development, or national environment producing an unprecedented Republican surge could theoretically alter the outcome, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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