Rising memory chip prices driven by AI demand have prompted Apple to lobby the Trump administration for assurances on sourcing from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT), China’s leading DRAM maker currently on the Pentagon’s 1260H list over alleged military ties. However, strong bipartisan opposition in Congress, the risk of Entity List placement imposing licensing requirements, and CXMT’s production capacity fully booked through 2027 at 95% utilization create substantial barriers to meaningful 2026 purchases. Apple continues to rely primarily on Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron, with any CXMT engagement likely limited to testing or China-specific devices at most. These regulatory, political, and supply constraints sustain trader consensus favoring no qualifying Apple purchase announcement by year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
18% chance
$21,868 Vol.
$21,868 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
18% chance
$21,868 Vol.
$21,868 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Rising memory chip prices driven by AI demand have prompted Apple to lobby the Trump administration for assurances on sourcing from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT), China’s leading DRAM maker currently on the Pentagon’s 1260H list over alleged military ties. However, strong bipartisan opposition in Congress, the risk of Entity List placement imposing licensing requirements, and CXMT’s production capacity fully booked through 2027 at 95% utilization create substantial barriers to meaningful 2026 purchases. Apple continues to rely primarily on Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron, with any CXMT engagement likely limited to testing or China-specific devices at most. These regulatory, political, and supply constraints sustain trader consensus favoring no qualifying Apple purchase announcement by year-end.
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ET
Volume
$21,868Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Rising memory chip prices driven by AI demand have prompted Apple to lobby the Trump administration for assurances on sourcing from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT), China’s leading DRAM maker currently on the Pentagon’s 1260H list over alleged military ties. However, strong bipartisan opposition in Congress, the risk of Entity List placement imposing licensing requirements, and CXMT’s production capacity fully booked through 2027 at 95% utilization create substantial barriers to meaningful 2026 purchases. Apple continues to rely primarily on Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron, with any CXMT engagement likely limited to testing or China-specific devices at most. These regulatory, political, and supply constraints sustain trader consensus favoring no qualifying Apple purchase announcement by year-end.
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$21,868Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Rising memory chip prices driven by AI demand have prompted Apple to lobby the Trump administration for assurances on sourcing from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT), China’s leading DRAM maker currently on the Pentagon’s 1260H list over alleged military ties. However, strong bipartisan opposition in Congress, the risk of Entity List placement imposing licensing requirements, and CXMT’s production capacity fully booked through 2027 at 95% utilization create substantial barriers to meaningful 2026 purchases. Apple continues to rely primarily on Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron, with any CXMT engagement likely limited to testing or China-specific devices at most. These regulatory, political, and supply constraints sustain trader consensus favoring no qualifying Apple purchase announcement by year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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