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icon for Ari Weinstein quittera-t-il OpenAI d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?

Ari Weinstein quittera-t-il OpenAI d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?

icon for Ari Weinstein quittera-t-il OpenAI d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?

Ari Weinstein quittera-t-il OpenAI d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?

Oui

8% chance
Polymarket

$11,773 Vol.

Oui

8% chance
Polymarket

$11,773 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI. An official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ari Weinstein joined OpenAI in October 2025 after the acquisition of his company Software Applications Incorporated, maker of the Sky macOS AI assistant, and integrated into the product team advancing Codex computer-use and agentic desktop features. Active public updates and team contributions continued through at least May 2026, reflecting his ongoing role in high-priority large language model capabilities. This post-acquisition embedding, combined with standard retention patterns for acquired talent in competitive AI environments, supports the market-implied 79.9% probability he remains through December 31, 2026. OpenAI has seen extensive executive turnover in 2025–2026, but Weinstein’s mid-level product focus shows no reported exit signals, competing offers, or role disruptions. Key upcoming catalysts include further Codex expansions or broader platform shifts, though no specific triggers for his departure have surfaced.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI.

An official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI. An official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$11,773
Date de fin
1 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Oct 27, 2025, 1:25 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI. An official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ari Weinstein joined OpenAI in October 2025 after the acquisition of his company Software Applications Incorporated, maker of the Sky macOS AI assistant, and integrated into the product team advancing Codex computer-use and agentic desktop features. Active public updates and team contributions continued through at least May 2026, reflecting his ongoing role in high-priority large language model capabilities. This post-acquisition embedding, combined with standard retention patterns for acquired talent in competitive AI environments, supports the market-implied 79.9% probability he remains through December 31, 2026. OpenAI has seen extensive executive turnover in 2025–2026, but Weinstein’s mid-level product focus shows no reported exit signals, competing offers, or role disruptions. Key upcoming catalysts include further Codex expansions or broader platform shifts, though no specific triggers for his departure have surfaced.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI.

An official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI. An official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$11,773
Date de fin
1 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Oct 27, 2025, 1:25 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...

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Questions fréquentes

« Ari Weinstein quittera-t-il OpenAI d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Ari Weinstein quittera-t-il OpenAI d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ? » à 14%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 14¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 14% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Ari Weinstein quittera-t-il OpenAI d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ? » a généré $11.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Oct 27, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Ari Weinstein quittera-t-il OpenAI d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Ari Weinstein quittera-t-il OpenAI d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ? » est « Ari Weinstein quittera-t-il OpenAI d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ? » à 14%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 14% à ce résultat. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Ari Weinstein quittera-t-il OpenAI d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.