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icon for Lamine Yamal quittera-t-elle Barcelone avant 2028 ?
Sports·Football

Lamine Yamal quittera-t-elle Barcelone avant 2028 ?

icon for Lamine Yamal quittera-t-elle Barcelone avant 2028 ?
Sports·Football

Lamine Yamal quittera-t-elle Barcelone avant 2028 ?

7% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
7% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lamine Yamal ceases to be a Barcelona player before January 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Yamal signed a contract with Barcelona reported to run until 2031, carrying a reported release clause of EUR 1 billion. A permanent transfer to another club counts. A loan to another club also counts, provided the loan has begun. Transfers or assignments between Barcelona's senior team and its reserve or affiliate teams do not count. An official announcement of a transfer that takes effect before January 1, 2028 will resolve this market to "Yes" even if the announcement is made earlier. If Lamine Yamal retires from professional football before January 1, 2028, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Barcelona and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lamine Yamal's contract extension through June 2031, signed in May 2025 with a €1 billion release clause, anchors trader consensus against an exit before 2028. At 19, the La Masia product has delivered elite output in 2025/26 and early 2026/27, including double-digit goals and assists that powered Barcelona to La Liga and Spain to the 2026 World Cup, while earning temporary captaincy duties and Ballon d'Or consideration. Recent hamstring recovery has not disrupted his starting role or production in La Liga and Champions League fixtures. These factors, combined with his historical ties to the club and absence of credible transfer interest, align with the 90.5% implied probability that he remains at Barcelona.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lamine Yamal ceases to be a Barcelona player before January 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Yamal signed a contract with Barcelona reported to run until 2031, carrying a reported release clause of EUR 1 billion.

A permanent transfer to another club counts. A loan to another club also counts, provided the loan has begun. Transfers or assignments between Barcelona's senior team and its reserve or affiliate teams do not count.

An official announcement of a transfer that takes effect before January 1, 2028 will resolve this market to "Yes" even if the announcement is made earlier.

If Lamine Yamal retires from professional football before January 1, 2028, this market will resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Barcelona and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lamine Yamal ceases to be a Barcelona player before January 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Yamal signed a contract with Barcelona reported to run until 2031, carrying a reported release clause of EUR 1 billion. A permanent transfer to another club counts. A loan to another club also counts, provided the loan has begun. Transfers or assignments between Barcelona's senior team and its reserve or affiliate teams do not count. An official announcement of a transfer that takes effect before January 1, 2028 will resolve this market to "Yes" even if the announcement is made earlier. If Lamine Yamal retires from professional football before January 1, 2028, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Barcelona and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Date de fin
1 janv. 2028
Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lamine Yamal ceases to be a Barcelona player before January 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Yamal signed a contract with Barcelona reported to run until 2031, carrying a reported release clause of EUR 1 billion. A permanent transfer to another club counts. A loan to another club also counts, provided the loan has begun. Transfers or assignments between Barcelona's senior team and its reserve or affiliate teams do not count. An official announcement of a transfer that takes effect before January 1, 2028 will resolve this market to "Yes" even if the announcement is made earlier. If Lamine Yamal retires from professional football before January 1, 2028, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Barcelona and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lamine Yamal's contract extension through June 2031, signed in May 2025 with a €1 billion release clause, anchors trader consensus against an exit before 2028. At 19, the La Masia product has delivered elite output in 2025/26 and early 2026/27, including double-digit goals and assists that powered Barcelona to La Liga and Spain to the 2026 World Cup, while earning temporary captaincy duties and Ballon d'Or consideration. Recent hamstring recovery has not disrupted his starting role or production in La Liga and Champions League fixtures. These factors, combined with his historical ties to the club and absence of credible transfer interest, align with the 90.5% implied probability that he remains at Barcelona.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lamine Yamal ceases to be a Barcelona player before January 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Yamal signed a contract with Barcelona reported to run until 2031, carrying a reported release clause of EUR 1 billion.

A permanent transfer to another club counts. A loan to another club also counts, provided the loan has begun. Transfers or assignments between Barcelona's senior team and its reserve or affiliate teams do not count.

An official announcement of a transfer that takes effect before January 1, 2028 will resolve this market to "Yes" even if the announcement is made earlier.

If Lamine Yamal retires from professional football before January 1, 2028, this market will resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Barcelona and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lamine Yamal ceases to be a Barcelona player before January 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Yamal signed a contract with Barcelona reported to run until 2031, carrying a reported release clause of EUR 1 billion. A permanent transfer to another club counts. A loan to another club also counts, provided the loan has begun. Transfers or assignments between Barcelona's senior team and its reserve or affiliate teams do not count. An official announcement of a transfer that takes effect before January 1, 2028 will resolve this market to "Yes" even if the announcement is made earlier. If Lamine Yamal retires from professional football before January 1, 2028, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Barcelona and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Date de fin
1 janv. 2028
Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...

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Questions fréquentes

« Lamine Yamal quittera-t-elle Barcelone avant 2028 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts « Oui » ou « Non » selon qu'ils estiment que cet événement se produira ou non. La probabilité actuelle selon la communauté est de 7% pour « Yes ». Par exemple, si « Oui » est coté à 7¢, le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 7% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes changent en permanence à mesure que les traders réagissent aux nouveaux développements et informations. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Lamine Yamal quittera-t-elle Barcelone avant 2028 ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 9, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Lamine Yamal quittera-t-elle Barcelone avant 2028 ? », choisissez simplement si vous pensez que la réponse est « Oui » ou « Non ». Chaque côté a un prix actuel qui reflète la probabilité implicite du marché. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » et que le résultat se résout comme « Oui », chaque part rapporte $1. S'il se résout comme « Non », vos parts « Oui » rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts à tout moment avant la résolution pour sécuriser un gain ou limiter une perte.

La probabilité actuelle pour « Lamine Yamal quittera-t-elle Barcelone avant 2028 ? » est de 7% pour « Yes ». Cela signifie que la communauté Polymarket estime actuellement qu'il y a une probabilité de 7% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel sur la base de transactions réelles, fournissant un signal continuellement actualisé de ce que le marché attend.

Les règles de résolution de « Lamine Yamal quittera-t-elle Barcelone avant 2028 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.