Russia's rejection of direct leader-level engagement without prior expert-level agreements on core issues, including territorial concessions in Donbas, underpins the 92% implied probability against a Putin-Zelenskyy meeting by year-end. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov stated in late August 2026 that peace talks remain on a "deep pause" while Russian forces continue systematic strikes and incremental advances in eastern Ukraine. Putin previously dismissed Zelenskyy's June 2026 open letter proposing talks as insincere and rude, reiterating that any summit requires prepared long-term deals first. Ongoing battlefield momentum for Russia and stalled U.S.-mediated channels since earlier rounds have reinforced trader views that no conditions exist for a bilateral meeting within the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$16,055 Vol.
$16,055 Vol.
Oui
$16,055 Vol.
$16,055 Vol.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Aug 26, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Résolveur
0x65070BE91...An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Résolveur
0x65070BE91...Russia's rejection of direct leader-level engagement without prior expert-level agreements on core issues, including territorial concessions in Donbas, underpins the 92% implied probability against a Putin-Zelenskyy meeting by year-end. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov stated in late August 2026 that peace talks remain on a "deep pause" while Russian forces continue systematic strikes and incremental advances in eastern Ukraine. Putin previously dismissed Zelenskyy's June 2026 open letter proposing talks as insincere and rude, reiterating that any summit requires prepared long-term deals first. Ongoing battlefield momentum for Russia and stalled U.S.-mediated channels since earlier rounds have reinforced trader views that no conditions exist for a bilateral meeting within the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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