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Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?

icon for Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?

Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?

68% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
68% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the Sunshine Protection Act or other legally binding legislation that would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States by July 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must contain legally operative provisions that, if enacted, would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States. Non-binding resolutions, including simple or concurrent resolutions that merely express the sense of the House, recommend that states change their timekeeping policies, or otherwise call for an end to clock-switching without legally implementing such a change, will not qualify. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., https://www.congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The House Energy and Commerce Committee advanced the Sunshine Protection Act (H.R. 139) in May 2026 with a 48-1 vote as part of the Motor Vehicle Modernization Act, and floor consideration is scheduled for the week of July 13. Trader consensus favoring non-passage by July 17 reflects the bill’s repeated failure to clear the full House despite prior Senate action, including the 2022 unanimous Senate passage that stalled amid objections. Key barriers include opposition from figures such as Sen. Tom Cotton over winter sunrise timing and school safety, limited floor time in a compressed legislative calendar, and the measure’s attachment to unrelated legislation that could invite amendments or procedural delays. The version under consideration would permit state opt-outs, yet these factors sustain skepticism about timely House approval before the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the Sunshine Protection Act or other legally binding legislation that would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States by July 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must contain legally operative provisions that, if enacted, would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States.

Non-binding resolutions, including simple or concurrent resolutions that merely express the sense of the House, recommend that states change their timekeeping policies, or otherwise call for an end to clock-switching without legally implementing such a change, will not qualify.

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., https://www.congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$128
Date de fin
17 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 11, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the Sunshine Protection Act or other legally binding legislation that would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States by July 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must contain legally operative provisions that, if enacted, would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States. Non-binding resolutions, including simple or concurrent resolutions that merely express the sense of the House, recommend that states change their timekeeping policies, or otherwise call for an end to clock-switching without legally implementing such a change, will not qualify. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., https://www.congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the Sunshine Protection Act or other legally binding legislation that would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States by July 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must contain legally operative provisions that, if enacted, would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States. Non-binding resolutions, including simple or concurrent resolutions that merely express the sense of the House, recommend that states change their timekeeping policies, or otherwise call for an end to clock-switching without legally implementing such a change, will not qualify. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., https://www.congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The House Energy and Commerce Committee advanced the Sunshine Protection Act (H.R. 139) in May 2026 with a 48-1 vote as part of the Motor Vehicle Modernization Act, and floor consideration is scheduled for the week of July 13. Trader consensus favoring non-passage by July 17 reflects the bill’s repeated failure to clear the full House despite prior Senate action, including the 2022 unanimous Senate passage that stalled amid objections. Key barriers include opposition from figures such as Sen. Tom Cotton over winter sunrise timing and school safety, limited floor time in a compressed legislative calendar, and the measure’s attachment to unrelated legislation that could invite amendments or procedural delays. The version under consideration would permit state opt-outs, yet these factors sustain skepticism about timely House approval before the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the Sunshine Protection Act or other legally binding legislation that would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States by July 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must contain legally operative provisions that, if enacted, would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States.

Non-binding resolutions, including simple or concurrent resolutions that merely express the sense of the House, recommend that states change their timekeeping policies, or otherwise call for an end to clock-switching without legally implementing such a change, will not qualify.

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., https://www.congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$128
Date de fin
17 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 11, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the Sunshine Protection Act or other legally binding legislation that would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States by July 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must contain legally operative provisions that, if enacted, would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States. Non-binding resolutions, including simple or concurrent resolutions that merely express the sense of the House, recommend that states change their timekeeping policies, or otherwise call for an end to clock-switching without legally implementing such a change, will not qualify. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., https://www.congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts « Oui » ou « Non » selon qu'ils estiment que cet événement se produira ou non. La probabilité actuelle selon la communauté est de 68% pour « Yes ». Par exemple, si « Oui » est coté à 68¢, le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 68% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes changent en permanence à mesure que les traders réagissent aux nouveaux développements et informations. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jul 11, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17? », choisissez simplement si vous pensez que la réponse est « Oui » ou « Non ». Chaque côté a un prix actuel qui reflète la probabilité implicite du marché. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » et que le résultat se résout comme « Oui », chaque part rapporte $1. S'il se résout comme « Non », vos parts « Oui » rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts à tout moment avant la résolution pour sécuriser un gain ou limiter une perte.

La probabilité actuelle pour « Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17? » est de 68% pour « Yes ». Cela signifie que la communauté Polymarket estime actuellement qu'il y a une probabilité de 68% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel sur la base de transactions réelles, fournissant un signal continuellement actualisé de ce que le marché attend.

Les règles de résolution de « Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.