Ongoing US-Iran hostilities, initiated by strikes on February 28, 2026, have proceeded through targeted military actions and economic measures without a formal congressional declaration of war, consistent with historical patterns under the War Powers Resolution. A June 17 memorandum of understanding established a 60-day negotiation window focused on the Strait of Hormuz and Iran's nuclear program, but it has faced repeated suspensions amid resumed strikes, Iranian responses targeting US assets in the Gulf, and US sanctions escalation described as "Economic D-Day" in mid-August. As of late August 2026, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of Congress passing a formal declaration, given Senate rejection of resolutions constraining presidential authority, reliance on executive notifications, and active diplomatic channels through Oman and others. Key variables include outcomes of current economic pressure, Hormuz transit arrangements, and any escalation requiring explicit legislative authorization before resolution deadlines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLes États-Unis déclareront-ils officiellement la guerre à l'Iran d'ici... ?
Les États-Unis déclareront-ils officiellement la guerre à l'Iran d'ici... ?
$7,774,488 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
31 décembre
4%
$7,774,488 Vol.
31 décembre
$801,853 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran hostilities, initiated by strikes on February 28, 2026, have proceeded through targeted military actions and economic measures without a formal congressional declaration of war, consistent with historical patterns under the War Powers Resolution. A June 17 memorandum of understanding established a 60-day negotiation window focused on the Strait of Hormuz and Iran's nuclear program, but it has faced repeated suspensions amid resumed strikes, Iranian responses targeting US assets in the Gulf, and US sanctions escalation described as "Economic D-Day" in mid-August. As of late August 2026, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of Congress passing a formal declaration, given Senate rejection of resolutions constraining presidential authority, reliance on executive notifications, and active diplomatic channels through Oman and others. Key variables include outcomes of current economic pressure, Hormuz transit arrangements, and any escalation requiring explicit legislative authorization before resolution deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Volume
$7,774,488Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran hostilities, initiated by strikes on February 28, 2026, have proceeded through targeted military actions and economic measures without a formal congressional declaration of war, consistent with historical patterns under the War Powers Resolution. A June 17 memorandum of understanding established a 60-day negotiation window focused on the Strait of Hormuz and Iran's nuclear program, but it has faced repeated suspensions amid resumed strikes, Iranian responses targeting US assets in the Gulf, and US sanctions escalation described as "Economic D-Day" in mid-August. As of late August 2026, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of Congress passing a formal declaration, given Senate rejection of resolutions constraining presidential authority, reliance on executive notifications, and active diplomatic channels through Oman and others. Key variables include outcomes of current economic pressure, Hormuz transit arrangements, and any escalation requiring explicit legislative authorization before resolution deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$7,774,488Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran hostilities, initiated by strikes on February 28, 2026, have proceeded through targeted military actions and economic measures without a formal congressional declaration of war, consistent with historical patterns under the War Powers Resolution. A June 17 memorandum of understanding established a 60-day negotiation window focused on the Strait of Hormuz and Iran's nuclear program, but it has faced repeated suspensions amid resumed strikes, Iranian responses targeting US assets in the Gulf, and US sanctions escalation described as "Economic D-Day" in mid-August. As of late August 2026, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of Congress passing a formal declaration, given Senate rejection of resolutions constraining presidential authority, reliance on executive notifications, and active diplomatic channels through Oman and others. Key variables include outcomes of current economic pressure, Hormuz transit arrangements, and any escalation requiring explicit legislative authorization before resolution deadlines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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