Recent Democratic resolutions and renewed calls for House impeachment proceedings, spurred by President Trump’s April 2026 statements threatening Iran, have elevated trader expectations. Public polling now shows majority support for impeachment efforts just over a year into the term, while forecasts assign Democrats a strong chance of reclaiming the House majority in the November 2026 midterms. That shift would provide the votes needed for articles of impeachment, even if Senate conviction remains improbable. With the president’s second term running until January 2029, these midterm dynamics and ongoing partisan tensions form the core basis for the current 64 percent implied probability of House impeachment before the term concludes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTrump sera-t-il destitué avant la fin de son mandat ?
Oui
$62,328 Vol.
$62,328 Vol.
Oui
$62,328 Vol.
$62,328 Vol.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Democratic resolutions and renewed calls for House impeachment proceedings, spurred by President Trump’s April 2026 statements threatening Iran, have elevated trader expectations. Public polling now shows majority support for impeachment efforts just over a year into the term, while forecasts assign Democrats a strong chance of reclaiming the House majority in the November 2026 midterms. That shift would provide the votes needed for articles of impeachment, even if Senate conviction remains improbable. With the president’s second term running until January 2029, these midterm dynamics and ongoing partisan tensions form the core basis for the current 64 percent implied probability of House impeachment before the term concludes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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