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icon for Trump mettra-t-il fin au ministère de l'Éducation avant 2027 ?
Politique·Trump

Trump mettra-t-il fin au ministère de l'Éducation avant 2027 ?

icon for Trump mettra-t-il fin au ministère de l'Éducation avant 2027 ?
Politique·Trump

Trump mettra-t-il fin au ministère de l'Éducation avant 2027 ?

déc. 31

déc. 31

Oui

10% chance
Polymarket

$10,681 Vol.

Oui

10% chance
Polymarket

$10,681 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump’s March 2025 executive order directed downsizing of the Department of Education through staff reductions, function transfers to other agencies, and spending cuts, yet full elimination requires congressional legislation to repeal the department’s authorizing statute. Core programs including federal student aid, Pell Grants, and special education funding have continued under the administration, while recent court orders have blocked some layoffs and restructuring steps. With Republicans holding narrow majorities, no bill abolishing the department has advanced to a floor vote, and the 2026 legislative calendar offers limited windows before the 2027 deadline. Traders price the 90.8% probability of “No” on these institutional and procedural barriers, consistent with the historical difficulty of dismantling cabinet-level agencies without supermajorities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.

If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$10,681
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 19, 2025, 3:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump’s March 2025 executive order directed downsizing of the Department of Education through staff reductions, function transfers to other agencies, and spending cuts, yet full elimination requires congressional legislation to repeal the department’s authorizing statute. Core programs including federal student aid, Pell Grants, and special education funding have continued under the administration, while recent court orders have blocked some layoffs and restructuring steps. With Republicans holding narrow majorities, no bill abolishing the department has advanced to a floor vote, and the 2026 legislative calendar offers limited windows before the 2027 deadline. Traders price the 90.8% probability of “No” on these institutional and procedural barriers, consistent with the historical difficulty of dismantling cabinet-level agencies without supermajorities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.

If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$10,681
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 19, 2025, 3:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Trump mettra-t-il fin au ministère de l'Éducation avant 2027 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Trump mettra-t-il fin au département de l'Éducation avant 2027 ? » à 10%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 10¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 10% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

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