Spain’s status as the world’s second-ranked side and defending European champions underpins the 78.5% implied probability traders assign to them topping Group H. The squad’s blend of technical depth, recent major-tournament success, and favorable draw against lower-ranked opponents has produced minimal pre-tournament volatility. Uruguay sits at 19.5% on the strength of its experienced core led by Federico Valverde and a history of overperforming expectations, though the post-Suárez/Cavani transition introduces some uncertainty. Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde remain at 2.0% and 0.9% respectively, reflecting limited recent competitive form and lower FIFA rankings ahead of the June 15 kickoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEspagne 79%
Uruguay 20%
Arabie saoudite 2.0%
Cap-Vert <1%
$273,069 Vol.
$273,069 Vol.
Espagne
79%
Uruguay
20%
Arabie saoudite
2%
Cap-Vert
1%
Espagne 79%
Uruguay 20%
Arabie saoudite 2.0%
Cap-Vert <1%
$273,069 Vol.
$273,069 Vol.
Espagne
79%
Uruguay
20%
Arabie saoudite
2%
Cap-Vert
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain’s status as the world’s second-ranked side and defending European champions underpins the 78.5% implied probability traders assign to them topping Group H. The squad’s blend of technical depth, recent major-tournament success, and favorable draw against lower-ranked opponents has produced minimal pre-tournament volatility. Uruguay sits at 19.5% on the strength of its experienced core led by Federico Valverde and a history of overperforming expectations, though the post-Suárez/Cavani transition introduces some uncertainty. Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde remain at 2.0% and 0.9% respectively, reflecting limited recent competitive form and lower FIFA rankings ahead of the June 15 kickoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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