Spain, France, England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil sit in a tight cluster of implied probabilities because each fields elite squads with exceptional depth and recent major-tournament pedigree heading into the expanded 48-team 2026 finals. Spain’s Euro 2024 title and consistent Nations League results underpin its narrow lead, while France’s generational talent pool and unbeaten recent qualifiers keep it within a point. Argentina’s status as defending champions and top FIFA ranking, combined with England’s and Portugal’s strong form and bracket positioning, prevent any single side from pulling away. Germany and the Netherlands add further pressure through depth, ensuring the market reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear favorite.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEspagne 17.0%
France 16.1%
Angleterre 10.8%
Portugal 10.8%
$1,947,729,590 Vol.
$1,947,729,590 Vol.
Espagne
17%
France
16%
Angleterre
11%
Portugal
11%
Argentine
9%
Brésil
8%
Allemagne
5%
Pays-Bas
4%
Norvège
2%
Belgique
2%
Colombie
2%
Japon
2%
Maroc
2%
Mexique
1%
Suisse
1%
Turquie
1%
États-Unis
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croatie
1%
Équateur
1%
Sénégal
1%
Côte d'Ivoire
<1%
Autriche
<1%
Canada
<1%
Suède
<1%
Corée du Sud
<1%
Écosse
<1%
Égypte
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algérie
<1%
Bosnie-Herzégovine
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
RD Congo
<1%
Tchéquie
<1%
Australie
<1%
Nouvelle-Zélande
<1%
Haïti
<1%
Jordanie
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisie
<1%
Ouzbékistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrique du Sud
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabie saoudite
<1%
Espagne 17.0%
France 16.1%
Angleterre 10.8%
Portugal 10.8%
$1,947,729,590 Vol.
$1,947,729,590 Vol.
Espagne
17%
France
16%
Angleterre
11%
Portugal
11%
Argentine
9%
Brésil
8%
Allemagne
5%
Pays-Bas
4%
Norvège
2%
Belgique
2%
Colombie
2%
Japon
2%
Maroc
2%
Mexique
1%
Suisse
1%
Turquie
1%
États-Unis
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croatie
1%
Équateur
1%
Sénégal
1%
Côte d'Ivoire
<1%
Autriche
<1%
Canada
<1%
Suède
<1%
Corée du Sud
<1%
Écosse
<1%
Égypte
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algérie
<1%
Bosnie-Herzégovine
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
RD Congo
<1%
Tchéquie
<1%
Australie
<1%
Nouvelle-Zélande
<1%
Haïti
<1%
Jordanie
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisie
<1%
Ouzbékistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrique du Sud
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabie saoudite
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain, France, England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil sit in a tight cluster of implied probabilities because each fields elite squads with exceptional depth and recent major-tournament pedigree heading into the expanded 48-team 2026 finals. Spain’s Euro 2024 title and consistent Nations League results underpin its narrow lead, while France’s generational talent pool and unbeaten recent qualifiers keep it within a point. Argentina’s status as defending champions and top FIFA ranking, combined with England’s and Portugal’s strong form and bracket positioning, prevent any single side from pulling away. Germany and the Netherlands add further pressure through depth, ensuring the market reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear favorite.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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