Bank of Israel monetary policy decisions for August reflect closely balanced trader sentiment, with no change and a 25 basis point cut each priced near 50 percent implied probability. The May 25 reduction to 3.75 percent resumed easing amid 1.9 percent April CPI within the 1-3 percent target band, a sharply stronger shekel, and tentative post-Q1 recovery signals, yet persistent geopolitical risks tied to regional conflicts continue to support a cautious stance. Forward-looking data on inflation momentum, labor market conditions, and any July 6 policy signal will likely determine whether the Monetary Committee pauses or extends the gradual rate path, consistent with historical patterns of measured adjustments after initial easing steps.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाकोई बदलाव नहीं 53%
25 बीपीएस की कटौती 49%
50+ बीपीएस वृद्धि 21%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट वृद्धि 20%
50+ बीपीएस कटौती
19%
25 बीपीएस की कटौती
49%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
53%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट वृद्धि
20%
50+ बीपीएस वृद्धि
21%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 53%
25 बीपीएस की कटौती 49%
50+ बीपीएस वृद्धि 21%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट वृद्धि 20%
50+ बीपीएस कटौती
19%
25 बीपीएस की कटौती
49%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
53%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट वृद्धि
20%
50+ बीपीएस वृद्धि
21%
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Israel, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 31, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Israel calendar (https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Israel resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: May 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Israel, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 31, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Israel calendar (https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Israel resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Bank of Israel monetary policy decisions for August reflect closely balanced trader sentiment, with no change and a 25 basis point cut each priced near 50 percent implied probability. The May 25 reduction to 3.75 percent resumed easing amid 1.9 percent April CPI within the 1-3 percent target band, a sharply stronger shekel, and tentative post-Q1 recovery signals, yet persistent geopolitical risks tied to regional conflicts continue to support a cautious stance. Forward-looking data on inflation momentum, labor market conditions, and any July 6 policy signal will likely determine whether the Monetary Committee pauses or extends the gradual rate path, consistent with historical patterns of measured adjustments after initial easing steps.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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