The Bank of Korea’s October 22 policy decision carries an 78.5% market-implied probability of no change after consecutive 25-basis-point hikes in July and August lifted the base rate to 3.00%. Elevated August CPI at 3.09% year-over-year and core inflation near 3.4% remain well above the 2% target, while upgraded 2026 GDP growth forecasts near 3.3% reflect robust semiconductor exports and domestic demand. The recent widening of the Korea-U.S. rate differential back to 1 percentage point has intensified won depreciation pressures and complicated the policy calculus, prompting most analysts to favor a pause to gauge lagged effects on household debt and housing prices before any further tightening. The BOK’s September Monetary Policy Report emphasized monitoring inflation persistence and financial stability risks, with the board’s dot plot centering on a 3.25% terminal rate by early 2027. These factors underpin the dominant no-change pricing while leaving modest room for a 25-basis-point hike priced at 19.5% if exchange-rate or price data deteriorate sharply before the meeting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाकोई बदलाव नहीं 79%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट्स की वृद्धि 20%
50+ बीपीएस वृद्धि 2.0%
50+ बीपीएस कटौती <1%
$12,291 वॉल्यूम
$12,291 वॉल्यूम
21 अक्टू, 2026
50+ बीपीएस कटौती
1%
25 बीपीएस कटौती
1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
79%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट्स की वृद्धि
20%
50+ बीपीएस वृद्धि
2%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 79%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट्स की वृद्धि 20%
50+ बीपीएस वृद्धि 2.0%
50+ बीपीएस कटौती <1%
$12,291 वॉल्यूम
$12,291 वॉल्यूम
21 अक्टू, 2026
50+ बीपीएस कटौती
$366 वॉल्यूम
1%
25 बीपीएस कटौती
$411 वॉल्यूम
1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
$6,740 वॉल्यूम
79%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट्स की वृद्धि
$4,413 वॉल्यूम
20%
50+ बीपीएस वृद्धि
$361 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.The Bank of Korea’s October 22 policy decision carries an 78.5% market-implied probability of no change after consecutive 25-basis-point hikes in July and August lifted the base rate to 3.00%. Elevated August CPI at 3.09% year-over-year and core inflation near 3.4% remain well above the 2% target, while upgraded 2026 GDP growth forecasts near 3.3% reflect robust semiconductor exports and domestic demand. The recent widening of the Korea-U.S. rate differential back to 1 percentage point has intensified won depreciation pressures and complicated the policy calculus, prompting most analysts to favor a pause to gauge lagged effects on household debt and housing prices before any further tightening. The BOK’s September Monetary Policy Report emphasized monitoring inflation persistence and financial stability risks, with the board’s dot plot centering on a 3.25% terminal rate by early 2027. These factors underpin the dominant no-change pricing while leaving modest room for a 25-basis-point hike priced at 19.5% if exchange-rate or price data deteriorate sharply before the meeting.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 27, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$12,291समाप्ति तिथि
22 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 7:06 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.The Bank of Korea’s October 22 policy decision carries an 78.5% market-implied probability of no change after consecutive 25-basis-point hikes in July and August lifted the base rate to 3.00%. Elevated August CPI at 3.09% year-over-year and core inflation near 3.4% remain well above the 2% target, while upgraded 2026 GDP growth forecasts near 3.3% reflect robust semiconductor exports and domestic demand. The recent widening of the Korea-U.S. rate differential back to 1 percentage point has intensified won depreciation pressures and complicated the policy calculus, prompting most analysts to favor a pause to gauge lagged effects on household debt and housing prices before any further tightening. The BOK’s September Monetary Policy Report emphasized monitoring inflation persistence and financial stability risks, with the board’s dot plot centering on a 3.25% terminal rate by early 2027. These factors underpin the dominant no-change pricing while leaving modest room for a 25-basis-point hike priced at 19.5% if exchange-rate or price data deteriorate sharply before the meeting.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
वॉल्यूम
$12,291समाप्ति तिथि
22 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 7:06 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Korea’s October 22 policy decision carries an 78.5% market-implied probability of no change after consecutive 25-basis-point hikes in July and August lifted the base rate to 3.00%. Elevated August CPI at 3.09% year-over-year and core inflation near 3.4% remain well above the 2% target, while upgraded 2026 GDP growth forecasts near 3.3% reflect robust semiconductor exports and domestic demand. The recent widening of the Korea-U.S. rate differential back to 1 percentage point has intensified won depreciation pressures and complicated the policy calculus, prompting most analysts to favor a pause to gauge lagged effects on household debt and housing prices before any further tightening. The BOK’s September Monetary Policy Report emphasized monitoring inflation persistence and financial stability risks, with the board’s dot plot centering on a 3.25% terminal rate by early 2027. These factors underpin the dominant no-change pricing while leaving modest room for a 25-basis-point hike priced at 19.5% if exchange-rate or price data deteriorate sharply before the meeting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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