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नया
2 जून, 2026
Polymarket

$4,465 वॉल्यूम

Polymarket

Ami Bera

$459 वॉल्यूम

93%

Robb Tucker

$1,972 वॉल्यूम

67%

Christine Bish

$1,125 वॉल्यूम

20%

Heidi Hall

$452 वॉल्यूम

17%

Chris Bennett

$258 वॉल्यूम

7%

Laura Koscki

$73 वॉल्यूम

6%

Chris Richardson

$125 वॉल्यूम

4%

Lyndon Cervantes

$0 वॉल्यूम

4%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 3rd Congressional District top-two primary on June 2 features incumbent Democrat Ami Bera as the clear frontrunner, bolstered by superior fundraising exceeding $1.8 million cash on hand and the Sacramento Bee's May 2 endorsement, following mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50 that shifted the district from Republican-leaning to Democratic-favoring (Kamala Harris +10 in 2024). A crowded field of four Democrats, including challenger Heidi Hall with environmental group backing, risks vote-splitting that could propel a Republican like Nevada County Supervisor Robb Tucker—endorsed by ex-incumbent Kevin Kiley—into the second spot under the top-two system. Early voting since May 4 shows Republican and Democratic ballot returns nearly even, heightening uncertainty with polls scarce and the general election November 3.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$4,465
समाप्ति तिथि
2 जून, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 3rd Congressional District top-two primary on June 2 features incumbent Democrat Ami Bera as the clear frontrunner, bolstered by superior fundraising exceeding $1.8 million cash on hand and the Sacramento Bee's May 2 endorsement, following mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50 that shifted the district from Republican-leaning to Democratic-favoring (Kamala Harris +10 in 2024). A crowded field of four Democrats, including challenger Heidi Hall with environmental group backing, risks vote-splitting that could propel a Republican like Nevada County Supervisor Robb Tucker—endorsed by ex-incumbent Kevin Kiley—into the second spot under the top-two system. Early voting since May 4 shows Republican and Democratic ballot returns nearly even, heightening uncertainty with polls scarce and the general election November 3.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$4,465
समाप्ति तिथि
2 जून, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"CA-03 Primary Winners" Polymarket पर 8 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, Ami Bera 93% (93¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद Robb Tucker 67% पर है।

"CA-03 Primary Winners" Polymarket पर एक नवनिर्मित बाज़ार है, Apr 22, 2026 को लॉन्च किया गया। एक शुरुआती बाज़ार के रूप में, यह पहले ट्रेडरों में शामिल होने और संभावनाएँ सेट करने और बाज़ार के शुरुआती मूल्य संकेत स्थापित करने का आपका अवसर है। आप समय के साथ बाज़ार की गति बढ़ने पर वॉल्यूम और ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि को ट्रैक करने के लिए इस पेज को बुकमार्क भी कर सकते हैं।

"CA-03 Primary Winners" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 8 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"CA-03 Primary Winners" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "Ami Bera" 93% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "Robb Tucker" 67% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"CA-03 Primary Winners" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।