Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson faces a competitive primary challenge from well-funded Democrat Eric Jones in California's top-two primary for the 4th Congressional District on June 2, 2026, while six Republicans—Sharon Brown, Mandy Ghusar, Jimih Jones, L. John MacKenzie, Raymond Riehle, and Chuck Uribe—along with independent Thomas Roach vie for the second general election advancement spot. In this Solid Democratic district (D+17 Cook PVI), Thompson holds advantages in cash on hand ($2.6 million) and California Democratic Party endorsement, contrasting Jones' higher receipts ($3.2 million) and Our Revolution backing emphasizing progressive policies. Fragmented GOP fundraising limits threats; recent Sacramento Bee voter guide (May 5) and endorsement highlight Thompson's longevity amid Prop 50 redistricting tweaks. Ballots mailed early May, voting centers open May 23.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$29,688 वॉल्यूम
माइक थॉम्पसन
98%
एरिक जोन्स
90%
हीथ फुल्करसन
11%
जॉन वेस्ली टायलर
8%
ट्रेवर मेर्रेल
7%
लॉरी मैकेंज़ी
5%
शेरोन ब्राउन
2%
मंडी घुसार
1%
$29,688 वॉल्यूम
माइक थॉम्पसन
98%
एरिक जोन्स
90%
हीथ फुल्करसन
11%
जॉन वेस्ली टायलर
8%
ट्रेवर मेर्रेल
7%
लॉरी मैकेंज़ी
5%
शेरोन ब्राउन
2%
मंडी घुसार
1%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson faces a competitive primary challenge from well-funded Democrat Eric Jones in California's top-two primary for the 4th Congressional District on June 2, 2026, while six Republicans—Sharon Brown, Mandy Ghusar, Jimih Jones, L. John MacKenzie, Raymond Riehle, and Chuck Uribe—along with independent Thomas Roach vie for the second general election advancement spot. In this Solid Democratic district (D+17 Cook PVI), Thompson holds advantages in cash on hand ($2.6 million) and California Democratic Party endorsement, contrasting Jones' higher receipts ($3.2 million) and Our Revolution backing emphasizing progressive policies. Fragmented GOP fundraising limits threats; recent Sacramento Bee voter guide (May 5) and endorsement highlight Thompson's longevity amid Prop 50 redistricting tweaks. Ballots mailed early May, voting centers open May 23.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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