Trader consensus favors United Russia to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its consistent lead in April polls (35–52% vote intention across FOM and VCIOM surveys) and dominance in single-member districts alongside administrative mobilization advantages. New People has surged as the runner-up in some polls (up to 17% in VCIOM), gaining 3% over recent months amid voter concerns like internet restrictions, fueling its 29% implied probability despite weaker regional networks. Recent United Russia primaries (ending late May) tested turnout via public-sector mobilization, while opposition parties like LDPR and KPRF face internal challenges and Kremlin oversight. High undecided rates (16–20%) and the hybrid electoral system—half proportional lists, half first-past-the-post—underscore uncertainty ahead of candidate approvals.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयारूसी संसदीय चुनाव में किस पार्टी को सबसे अधिक सीटें मिलेंगी?
रूसी संसदीय चुनाव में किस पार्टी को सबसे अधिक सीटें मिलेंगी?
यूनाइटेड रूस (ईआर) 61%
न्यू पीपल (एनएल) 29.2%
रूस की लिबरल डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी (LDPR) 5.3%
रूसी संघ की कम्युनिस्ट पार्टी (केपीआरएफ) 4.5%
$7,638,013 वॉल्यूम
$7,638,013 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
यूनाइटेड रूस (ईआर)
61%
न्यू पीपल (एनएल)
29%
रूस की लिबरल डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी (LDPR)
5%
रूसी संघ की कम्युनिस्ट पार्टी (केपीआरएफ)
5%
जस्ट रशिया – फॉर ट्रुथ (SRZP)
1%
रोदीना
<1%
सिविक प्लेटफॉर्म (जीपी)
<1%
यूनाइटेड रूस (ईआर) 61%
न्यू पीपल (एनएल) 29.2%
रूस की लिबरल डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी (LDPR) 5.3%
रूसी संघ की कम्युनिस्ट पार्टी (केपीआरएफ) 4.5%
$7,638,013 वॉल्यूम
$7,638,013 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
यूनाइटेड रूस (ईआर)
$2,074,649 वॉल्यूम
61%
न्यू पीपल (एनएल)
$688,029 वॉल्यूम
29%
रूस की लिबरल डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी (LDPR)
$2,263,868 वॉल्यूम
5%
रूसी संघ की कम्युनिस्ट पार्टी (केपीआरएफ)
$644,817 वॉल्यूम
5%
जस्ट रशिया – फॉर ट्रुथ (SRZP)
$556,743 वॉल्यूम
1%
रोदीना
$850,915 वॉल्यूम
<1%
सिविक प्लेटफॉर्म (जीपी)
$558,992 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus favors United Russia to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its consistent lead in April polls (35–52% vote intention across FOM and VCIOM surveys) and dominance in single-member districts alongside administrative mobilization advantages. New People has surged as the runner-up in some polls (up to 17% in VCIOM), gaining 3% over recent months amid voter concerns like internet restrictions, fueling its 29% implied probability despite weaker regional networks. Recent United Russia primaries (ending late May) tested turnout via public-sector mobilization, while opposition parties like LDPR and KPRF face internal challenges and Kremlin oversight. High undecided rates (16–20%) and the hybrid electoral system—half proportional lists, half first-past-the-post—underscore uncertainty ahead of candidate approvals.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,638,013समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus favors United Russia to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its consistent lead in April polls (35–52% vote intention across FOM and VCIOM surveys) and dominance in single-member districts alongside administrative mobilization advantages. New People has surged as the runner-up in some polls (up to 17% in VCIOM), gaining 3% over recent months amid voter concerns like internet restrictions, fueling its 29% implied probability despite weaker regional networks. Recent United Russia primaries (ending late May) tested turnout via public-sector mobilization, while opposition parties like LDPR and KPRF face internal challenges and Kremlin oversight. High undecided rates (16–20%) and the hybrid electoral system—half proportional lists, half first-past-the-post—underscore uncertainty ahead of candidate approvals.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
वॉल्यूम
$7,638,013समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors United Russia to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its consistent lead in April polls (35–52% vote intention across FOM and VCIOM surveys) and dominance in single-member districts alongside administrative mobilization advantages. New People has surged as the runner-up in some polls (up to 17% in VCIOM), gaining 3% over recent months amid voter concerns like internet restrictions, fueling its 29% implied probability despite weaker regional networks. Recent United Russia primaries (ending late May) tested turnout via public-sector mobilization, while opposition parties like LDPR and KPRF face internal challenges and Kremlin oversight. High undecided rates (16–20%) and the hybrid electoral system—half proportional lists, half first-past-the-post—underscore uncertainty ahead of candidate approvals.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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