Republican majorities in Congress have blocked Democratic efforts to advance articles of impeachment or invoke the 25th Amendment, keeping the probability that Trump remains in office through 2026 near 90 percent. Symbolic resolutions introduced in April citing health concerns and policy statements lack the bipartisan support required for Senate conviction or cabinet action, consistent with historical patterns. No verified developments indicate resignation, incapacity, or legal barriers in recent weeks, and White House statements have dismissed related speculation. The 2026 midterms represent the next major institutional test, yet procedural timelines make any resulting shift unlikely to trigger removal before the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Trader pricing aligns with these structural constraints.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$8,517,791 वॉल्यूम
$8,517,791 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$8,517,791 वॉल्यूम
$8,517,791 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican majorities in Congress have blocked Democratic efforts to advance articles of impeachment or invoke the 25th Amendment, keeping the probability that Trump remains in office through 2026 near 90 percent. Symbolic resolutions introduced in April citing health concerns and policy statements lack the bipartisan support required for Senate conviction or cabinet action, consistent with historical patterns. No verified developments indicate resignation, incapacity, or legal barriers in recent weeks, and White House statements have dismissed related speculation. The 2026 midterms represent the next major institutional test, yet procedural timelines make any resulting shift unlikely to trigger removal before the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Trader pricing aligns with these structural constraints.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$8,517,791समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican majorities in Congress have blocked Democratic efforts to advance articles of impeachment or invoke the 25th Amendment, keeping the probability that Trump remains in office through 2026 near 90 percent. Symbolic resolutions introduced in April citing health concerns and policy statements lack the bipartisan support required for Senate conviction or cabinet action, consistent with historical patterns. No verified developments indicate resignation, incapacity, or legal barriers in recent weeks, and White House statements have dismissed related speculation. The 2026 midterms represent the next major institutional test, yet procedural timelines make any resulting shift unlikely to trigger removal before the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Trader pricing aligns with these structural constraints.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$8,517,791समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican majorities in Congress have blocked Democratic efforts to advance articles of impeachment or invoke the 25th Amendment, keeping the probability that Trump remains in office through 2026 near 90 percent. Symbolic resolutions introduced in April citing health concerns and policy statements lack the bipartisan support required for Senate conviction or cabinet action, consistent with historical patterns. No verified developments indicate resignation, incapacity, or legal barriers in recent weeks, and White House statements have dismissed related speculation. The 2026 midterms represent the next major institutional test, yet procedural timelines make any resulting shift unlikely to trigger removal before the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Trader pricing aligns with these structural constraints.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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