Republican majorities in Congress have blocked any viable path to impeachment conviction or 25th Amendment invocation, leaving removal dependent on voluntary resignation or unforeseen incapacity. Past Democratic calls for action during the April 2026 Iran-related flare-up produced no bipartisan momentum or committee progress, and those efforts quickly faded without floor votes. Trump continues signing executive orders, managing foreign policy, and conducting public events as of mid-August 2026, with no active cabinet statements, health disclosures, or resignation signals. Midterm elections remain months away and do not alter the constitutional threshold for early departure. Traders price the No outcome at 94.5 percent because these institutional and procedural realities have held steady since the spring episode, consistent with historical patterns where second-term presidents complete their terms absent extraordinary bipartisan consensus.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
6% संभावना
$10,748,078 वॉल्यूम
$10,748,078 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
6% संभावना
$10,748,078 वॉल्यूम
$10,748,078 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican majorities in Congress have blocked any viable path to impeachment conviction or 25th Amendment invocation, leaving removal dependent on voluntary resignation or unforeseen incapacity. Past Democratic calls for action during the April 2026 Iran-related flare-up produced no bipartisan momentum or committee progress, and those efforts quickly faded without floor votes. Trump continues signing executive orders, managing foreign policy, and conducting public events as of mid-August 2026, with no active cabinet statements, health disclosures, or resignation signals. Midterm elections remain months away and do not alter the constitutional threshold for early departure. Traders price the No outcome at 94.5 percent because these institutional and procedural realities have held steady since the spring episode, consistent with historical patterns where second-term presidents complete their terms absent extraordinary bipartisan consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$10,748,078समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican majorities in Congress have blocked any viable path to impeachment conviction or 25th Amendment invocation, leaving removal dependent on voluntary resignation or unforeseen incapacity. Past Democratic calls for action during the April 2026 Iran-related flare-up produced no bipartisan momentum or committee progress, and those efforts quickly faded without floor votes. Trump continues signing executive orders, managing foreign policy, and conducting public events as of mid-August 2026, with no active cabinet statements, health disclosures, or resignation signals. Midterm elections remain months away and do not alter the constitutional threshold for early departure. Traders price the No outcome at 94.5 percent because these institutional and procedural realities have held steady since the spring episode, consistent with historical patterns where second-term presidents complete their terms absent extraordinary bipartisan consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$10,748,113समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican majorities in Congress have blocked any viable path to impeachment conviction or 25th Amendment invocation, leaving removal dependent on voluntary resignation or unforeseen incapacity. Past Democratic calls for action during the April 2026 Iran-related flare-up produced no bipartisan momentum or committee progress, and those efforts quickly faded without floor votes. Trump continues signing executive orders, managing foreign policy, and conducting public events as of mid-August 2026, with no active cabinet statements, health disclosures, or resignation signals. Midterm elections remain months away and do not alter the constitutional threshold for early departure. Traders price the No outcome at 94.5 percent because these institutional and procedural realities have held steady since the spring episode, consistent with historical patterns where second-term presidents complete their terms absent extraordinary bipartisan consensus.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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