Traders assign a 97.4% implied probability that Donald Trump remains President through December 31, 2026, reflecting the brief six-week window remaining and the absence of active removal proceedings or verified incapacity. The Republican-controlled Congress through January 2027 limits any immediate impeachment path, while Democratic majorities taking office afterward face high constitutional hurdles for House passage and the required two-thirds Senate conviction. No public statements, health disclosures, or documented events signal resignation or invocation of the 25th Amendment. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a sudden medical emergency triggering succession protocols or an unforeseen personal decision, though both remain low-probability events given the compressed timeline and current public schedule.