Rondônia's electorate has long favored right-wing candidates, delivering Jair Bolsonaro a 70-30 margin over Lula in 2022, and recent state polling reflects continuity with Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) at 58% in first-round preferences against Lula's 25%. A July Real Time Big Data survey showed 69% disapproval of the incumbent federal administration, while other declared contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos registered single-digit or lower support. Trader consensus at 96% for Flávio aligns with this regional pattern and the absence of major countervailing developments since mid-July. Late shifts could still occur if national campaign dynamics, turnout variations, or unexpected events alter voter behavior before the October 4 first round.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाFlavio Bolsonaro 96.1%
Lula 1.5%
रेनन सैंटोस <1%
Pablo Marçal <1%

Flavio Bolsonaro
96%

Lula
1%

रेनन सैंटोस
1%

Pablo Marçal
1%

समारा
1%

Edmilson Costa
<1%

वेटेरिनारियो विल्सन ग्रासी
<1%

Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%

ज़ेमा
<1%

रोनाल्डो कायाडो
<1%

रूई कोस्टा पीमेंटा
<1%

Clariana Barao
<1%

Hertz Dias
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 96.1%
Lula 1.5%
रेनन सैंटोस <1%
Pablo Marçal <1%

Flavio Bolsonaro
96%

Lula
1%

रेनन सैंटोस
1%

Pablo Marçal
1%

समारा
1%

Edmilson Costa
<1%

वेटेरिनारियो विल्सन ग्रासी
<1%

Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%

ज़ेमा
<1%

रोनाल्डो कायाडो
<1%

रूई कोस्टा पीमेंटा
<1%

Clariana Barao
<1%

Hertz Dias
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Rondônia's electorate has long favored right-wing candidates, delivering Jair Bolsonaro a 70-30 margin over Lula in 2022, and recent state polling reflects continuity with Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) at 58% in first-round preferences against Lula's 25%. A July Real Time Big Data survey showed 69% disapproval of the incumbent federal administration, while other declared contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos registered single-digit or lower support. Trader consensus at 96% for Flávio aligns with this regional pattern and the absence of major countervailing developments since mid-July. Late shifts could still occur if national campaign dynamics, turnout variations, or unexpected events alter voter behavior before the October 4 first round.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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