In the Minas Gerais Senate race, where voters select two representatives, trader consensus on second place remains highly fragmented, with Marília Campos (PT), Gustavo Galassi, Marcelo Aro (PP), and several others clustered between roughly 18% and 23.5% implied probability. Recent July and early August 2026 polls, including those from Quaest and Real Time Big Data, show Campos leading overall but with no dominant contender for the runner-up spot amid a field of 17 registered candidates. Official campaigning only began days ago, leaving room for coalition negotiations, endorsements, and voter shifts to influence positioning before the October vote. Late developments such as stronger polling trends or key party alliances could consolidate support and widen gaps among the contenders.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMarília Campos 24%
Gustavo Galassi 24%
Victória Mello Vic 24%
Manoel Carvalho 23%
Marília Campos
24%
Gustavo Galassi
24%
Victória Mello Vic
24%
Manoel Carvalho
23%
Marcelo Aro
22%
Jordano Metalúrgico
18%
Tião Pessoa
19%
Domingos Sávio
19%
Ana Luiza do MLB
18%
Juiz Ramon Moreira
18%
Carlin Moura
18%
Arcanjo Pimenta
18%
Carlos Viana
17%
Áurea Carolina
17%
Marco Antônio Superman
16%
Fidélis Alcântara
7%
Marcelo Heringer
7%
Marília Campos 24%
Gustavo Galassi 24%
Victória Mello Vic 24%
Manoel Carvalho 23%
Marília Campos
24%
Gustavo Galassi
24%
Victória Mello Vic
24%
Manoel Carvalho
23%
Marcelo Aro
22%
Jordano Metalúrgico
18%
Tião Pessoa
19%
Domingos Sávio
19%
Ana Luiza do MLB
18%
Juiz Ramon Moreira
18%
Carlin Moura
18%
Arcanjo Pimenta
18%
Carlos Viana
17%
Áurea Carolina
17%
Marco Antônio Superman
16%
Fidélis Alcântara
7%
Marcelo Heringer
7%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the Minas Gerais Senate race, where voters select two representatives, trader consensus on second place remains highly fragmented, with Marília Campos (PT), Gustavo Galassi, Marcelo Aro (PP), and several others clustered between roughly 18% and 23.5% implied probability. Recent July and early August 2026 polls, including those from Quaest and Real Time Big Data, show Campos leading overall but with no dominant contender for the runner-up spot amid a field of 17 registered candidates. Official campaigning only began days ago, leaving room for coalition negotiations, endorsements, and voter shifts to influence positioning before the October vote. Late developments such as stronger polling trends or key party alliances could consolidate support and widen gaps among the contenders.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न