Flávio Bolsonaro holds an overwhelming 87% implied probability to finish second in Brazil’s October 4 first round because he has consolidated the main right-wing vote as the Liberal Party nominee endorsed by his ineligible father, Jair Bolsonaro. Recent mid-August campaign launches by both Lula and Flávio have kept the race centered on these two figures, with polls showing Lula ahead in the mid-40s and Flávio in the mid-to-high 30s. Earlier setbacks for Flávio, including June audio revelations and family tensions, have eased after public reconciliation, while support for other right-leaning contenders such as Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema remains fragmented below 5% each. Lula’s incumbency advantages in job-creation messaging and targeted economic measures have sustained his first-place position without displacing Flávio from a clear second.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाफ्लावियो बोलसोनारो 87%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा 7.5%
रेनेन सैंटोस 4.7%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो <1%
$4,899,097 वॉल्यूम
$4,899,097 वॉल्यूम
फ्लावियो बोलसोनारो
87%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा
8%
रेनेन सैंटोस
5%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो
1%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
<1%
रोम्यू ज़ेमा
<1%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
<1%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
<1%
एडुआर्डो बोल्सोनारो
<1%
एल्डो रेबेलो
<1%
तर्शीज़ियो दे फ़्रेयटास
<1%
जैर बोल्सोनारो
<1%
रातिन्हो जूनियर
<1%
जेराल्डो अल्कमिन
<1%
एडुआर्डो लेइटे
<1%
हेल्डर बारबल्हो
<1%
टेरेज़ा क्रिस्टिना
<1%
फ्लावियो बोलसोनारो 87%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा 7.5%
रेनेन सैंटोस 4.7%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो <1%
$4,899,097 वॉल्यूम
$4,899,097 वॉल्यूम
फ्लावियो बोलसोनारो
87%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा
8%
रेनेन सैंटोस
5%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो
1%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
<1%
रोम्यू ज़ेमा
<1%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
<1%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
<1%
एडुआर्डो बोल्सोनारो
<1%
एल्डो रेबेलो
<1%
तर्शीज़ियो दे फ़्रेयटास
<1%
जैर बोल्सोनारो
<1%
रातिन्हो जूनियर
<1%
जेराल्डो अल्कमिन
<1%
एडुआर्डो लेइटे
<1%
हेल्डर बारबल्हो
<1%
टेरेज़ा क्रिस्टिना
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Flávio Bolsonaro holds an overwhelming 87% implied probability to finish second in Brazil’s October 4 first round because he has consolidated the main right-wing vote as the Liberal Party nominee endorsed by his ineligible father, Jair Bolsonaro. Recent mid-August campaign launches by both Lula and Flávio have kept the race centered on these two figures, with polls showing Lula ahead in the mid-40s and Flávio in the mid-to-high 30s. Earlier setbacks for Flávio, including June audio revelations and family tensions, have eased after public reconciliation, while support for other right-leaning contenders such as Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema remains fragmented below 5% each. Lula’s incumbency advantages in job-creation messaging and targeted economic measures have sustained his first-place position without displacing Flávio from a clear second.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासंबंधित
क्या रेयान सैंटोस 2026 के ब्राज़ीली राष्ट्रपति चुनाव के पहले दौर में तीसरे स्थान पर finish करेंगे?
क्या अगले ब्राज़ील राष्ट्रपति चुनाव में फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो को फेडरल डिस्ट्रिक्ट से सबसे अधिक वोट मिलेंगे?
क्या फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो को अगले ब्राज़ील राष्ट्रपति चुनाव में पाराना से सबसे ज्यादा वोट मिलेंगे?
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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