Current polling consistently shows President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading the first-round vote for Brazil’s October 4, 2026, presidential election, with Flávio Bolsonaro placed second in most surveys. Jair Bolsonaro’s December 2025 endorsement of his son as the Liberal Party candidate consolidated right-wing support behind Flávio, enabling him to outpace other conservative contenders such as Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado. Recent Quaest and Ideia surveys place Lula near 39 percent and Flávio in the low-to-mid 30s, leaving the remainder fragmented among smaller candidates. This structure, combined with Lula’s age-related concerns and modest approval ratings, has produced the market’s strong consensus on second-place positioning while leaving room for late shifts from economic data or candidate withdrawals.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाफ्लावियो बोलसोनारो 61%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा 15%
रेनेन सैंटोस 6.2%
रोम्यू ज़ेमा 5.9%
$3,522,234 वॉल्यूम
$3,522,234 वॉल्यूम
फ्लावियो बोलसोनारो
61%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा
15%
रेनेन सैंटोस
6%
रोम्यू ज़ेमा
6%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
4%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
3%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
2%
टेरेज़ा क्रिस्टिना
1%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो
1%
जेराल्डो अल्कमिन
1%
तर्शीज़ियो दे फ़्रेयटास
<1%
हेल्डर बारबल्हो
<1%
रातिन्हो जूनियर
<1%
एल्डो रेबेलो
<1%
एडुआर्डो बोल्सोनारो
<1%
जैर बोल्सोनारो
<1%
एडुआर्डो लेइटे
<1%
फ्लावियो बोलसोनारो 61%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा 15%
रेनेन सैंटोस 6.2%
रोम्यू ज़ेमा 5.9%
$3,522,234 वॉल्यूम
$3,522,234 वॉल्यूम
फ्लावियो बोलसोनारो
61%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा
15%
रेनेन सैंटोस
6%
रोम्यू ज़ेमा
6%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
4%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
3%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
2%
टेरेज़ा क्रिस्टिना
1%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो
1%
जेराल्डो अल्कमिन
1%
तर्शीज़ियो दे फ़्रेयटास
<1%
हेल्डर बारबल्हो
<1%
रातिन्हो जूनियर
<1%
एल्डो रेबेलो
<1%
एडुआर्डो बोल्सोनारो
<1%
जैर बोल्सोनारो
<1%
एडुआर्डो लेइटे
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Current polling consistently shows President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading the first-round vote for Brazil’s October 4, 2026, presidential election, with Flávio Bolsonaro placed second in most surveys. Jair Bolsonaro’s December 2025 endorsement of his son as the Liberal Party candidate consolidated right-wing support behind Flávio, enabling him to outpace other conservative contenders such as Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado. Recent Quaest and Ideia surveys place Lula near 39 percent and Flávio in the low-to-mid 30s, leaving the remainder fragmented among smaller candidates. This structure, combined with Lula’s age-related concerns and modest approval ratings, has produced the market’s strong consensus on second-place positioning while leaving room for late shifts from economic data or candidate withdrawals.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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