Trader consensus prices Romeu Zema and Renan Santos as near-even frontrunners for third place in Brazil's October 4, 2026, presidential first-round election, reflecting polls showing them clustered at 2-5% behind dominant leaders Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (38-40%) and Flávio Bolsonaro (33-37%). Recent surveys like Quaest (May 8-11) tie Zema and Ronaldo Caiado at 4%, while AtlasIntel (late April) briefly put Santos atop the group at 5.3%, underscoring volatility amid 10-16% undecideds and a splintered center-right field of governors and outsiders. High blank/null rates amplify small shifts from party conventions (June-July), regional momentum—Zema's Minas Gerais strength—or campaign endorsements, any of which could tip the balance before the runoff threshold.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयारोम्यु ज़ेमा 36%
रेयान सैंटोस 34%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो 13%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो 4.5%
$277,443 वॉल्यूम
$277,443 वॉल्यूम
रोम्यु ज़ेमा
36%
रेयान सैंटोस
34%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो
13%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
5%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो
6%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
4%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
10%
गेराल्डो अल्कमिन
1%
जाइर बोल्सोनारो
1%
एडुआर्डो लेइटे
1%
एल्डो रेबेलो
<1%
टार्सिसियो डी फ्रीटास
<1%
एडुआर्डो बोल्सोनारो
<1%
लुइज़ इनासिओ लूला दा सिल्वा
<1%
रातिन्हो जूनियर
<1%
रोम्यु ज़ेमा 36%
रेयान सैंटोस 34%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो 13%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो 4.5%
$277,443 वॉल्यूम
$277,443 वॉल्यूम
रोम्यु ज़ेमा
36%
रेयान सैंटोस
34%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो
13%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
5%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो
6%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
4%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
10%
गेराल्डो अल्कमिन
1%
जाइर बोल्सोनारो
1%
एडुआर्डो लेइटे
1%
एल्डो रेबेलो
<1%
टार्सिसियो डी फ्रीटास
<1%
एडुआर्डो बोल्सोनारो
<1%
लुइज़ इनासिओ लूला दा सिल्वा
<1%
रातिन्हो जूनियर
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Romeu Zema and Renan Santos as near-even frontrunners for third place in Brazil's October 4, 2026, presidential first-round election, reflecting polls showing them clustered at 2-5% behind dominant leaders Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (38-40%) and Flávio Bolsonaro (33-37%). Recent surveys like Quaest (May 8-11) tie Zema and Ronaldo Caiado at 4%, while AtlasIntel (late April) briefly put Santos atop the group at 5.3%, underscoring volatility amid 10-16% undecideds and a splintered center-right field of governors and outsiders. High blank/null rates amplify small shifts from party conventions (June-July), regional momentum—Zema's Minas Gerais strength—or campaign endorsements, any of which could tip the balance before the runoff threshold.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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