Renan Santos leads the market for third place in Brazil’s October 2026 first-round presidential vote at 57.5 percent implied probability, ahead of Ronaldo Caiado at 34 percent, reflecting his rapid rise among younger conservative voters through social-media mobilization and an explicitly anti-establishment, pro-market platform. Formal party nominations completed in recent weeks have clarified the field, with Santos’s Missão party positioning him as an alternative to the Bolsonaro-aligned right. Caiado’s experience as former Goiás governor sustains support among traditional center-right voters, while Romeu Zema and Flávio Bolsonaro trail further back amid vote fragmentation. Recent polling shows Santos surpassing other non-Bolsonaro right contenders, consistent with the trader consensus on consolidation patterns ahead of the October 4 first round.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयारेयान सैंटोस 57%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो 34%
रोम्यु ज़ेमा 5.3%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो 2.9%
$537,085 वॉल्यूम
$537,085 वॉल्यूम
रेयान सैंटोस
57%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो
34%
रोम्यु ज़ेमा
5%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो
3%
लुइज़ इनासिओ लूला दा सिल्वा
1%
टार्सिसियो डी फ्रीटास
<1%
एडुआर्डो बोल्सोनारो
<1%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
<1%
रातिन्हो जूनियर
<1%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
<1%
गेराल्डो अल्कमिन
<1%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
<1%
जाइर बोल्सोनारो
<1%
एल्डो रेबेलो
<1%
टेरेज़ा क्रिस्टीना
<1%
एडुआर्डो लेइटे
<1%
हेल्डर बारबाल्हो
<1%
रेयान सैंटोस 57%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो 34%
रोम्यु ज़ेमा 5.3%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो 2.9%
$537,085 वॉल्यूम
$537,085 वॉल्यूम
रेयान सैंटोस
57%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो
34%
रोम्यु ज़ेमा
5%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो
3%
लुइज़ इनासिओ लूला दा सिल्वा
1%
टार्सिसियो डी फ्रीटास
<1%
एडुआर्डो बोल्सोनारो
<1%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
<1%
रातिन्हो जूनियर
<1%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
<1%
गेराल्डो अल्कमिन
<1%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
<1%
जाइर बोल्सोनारो
<1%
एल्डो रेबेलो
<1%
टेरेज़ा क्रिस्टीना
<1%
एडुआर्डो लेइटे
<1%
हेल्डर बारबाल्हो
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Renan Santos leads the market for third place in Brazil’s October 2026 first-round presidential vote at 57.5 percent implied probability, ahead of Ronaldo Caiado at 34 percent, reflecting his rapid rise among younger conservative voters through social-media mobilization and an explicitly anti-establishment, pro-market platform. Formal party nominations completed in recent weeks have clarified the field, with Santos’s Missão party positioning him as an alternative to the Bolsonaro-aligned right. Caiado’s experience as former Goiás governor sustains support among traditional center-right voters, while Romeu Zema and Flávio Bolsonaro trail further back amid vote fragmentation. Recent polling shows Santos surpassing other non-Bolsonaro right contenders, consistent with the trader consensus on consolidation patterns ahead of the October 4 first round.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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