Brazil's market-implied odds for 2026 annual IPCA inflation cluster around 5.00-5.49% as the leading outcome, reflecting the Focus survey consensus near 5.03% following five consecutive weekly declines amid cooling price pressures. Recent July CPI data at 4.44% year-over-year—down from 4.64% in June and back inside the 1.5-4.5% target band—has reinforced expectations, driven by softer food, transport, and fuel components as global oil prices eased. Persistent upside risks from supply-side food pressures, fiscal spending initiatives, and a still-restrictive Selic rate path (with further 25-basis-point cuts anticipated) continue to anchor projections above the 3% target, while gradual labor-market cooling and prior monetary tightening support the downward revisions in trader sentiment.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5.00-5.49% 58.1%
5.50-5.99% 23.5%
4.50-4.99% 16.5%
4.00-4.49% 1.8%
$93,702 वॉल्यूम
$93,702 वॉल्यूम
12 जन, 2027
<3.00%
1%
3.00-3.49%
1%
3.50-3.99%
1%
4.00-4.49%
2%
4.50-4.99%
16%
5.00-5.49%
58%
5.50-5.99%
24%
6.00-6.49%
2%
6.50-6.99%
<1%
7.00%+
1%
5.00-5.49% 58.1%
5.50-5.99% 23.5%
4.50-4.99% 16.5%
4.00-4.49% 1.8%
$93,702 वॉल्यूम
$93,702 वॉल्यूम
12 जन, 2027
<3.00%
$5,677 वॉल्यूम
1%
3.00-3.49%
$5,747 वॉल्यूम
1%
3.50-3.99%
$13,150 वॉल्यूम
1%
4.00-4.49%
$13,519 वॉल्यूम
2%
4.50-4.99%
$15,097 वॉल्यूम
16%
5.00-5.49%
$13,400 वॉल्यूम
58%
5.50-5.99%
$9,288 वॉल्यूम
24%
6.00-6.49%
$6,446 वॉल्यूम
2%
6.50-6.99%
$6,620 वॉल्यूम
<1%
7.00%+
$4,760 वॉल्यूम
1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlBrazil's market-implied odds for 2026 annual IPCA inflation cluster around 5.00-5.49% as the leading outcome, reflecting the Focus survey consensus near 5.03% following five consecutive weekly declines amid cooling price pressures. Recent July CPI data at 4.44% year-over-year—down from 4.64% in June and back inside the 1.5-4.5% target band—has reinforced expectations, driven by softer food, transport, and fuel components as global oil prices eased. Persistent upside risks from supply-side food pressures, fiscal spending initiatives, and a still-restrictive Selic rate path (with further 25-basis-point cuts anticipated) continue to anchor projections above the 3% target, while gradual labor-market cooling and prior monetary tightening support the downward revisions in trader sentiment.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$93,702समाप्ति तिथि
12 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlBrazil's market-implied odds for 2026 annual IPCA inflation cluster around 5.00-5.49% as the leading outcome, reflecting the Focus survey consensus near 5.03% following five consecutive weekly declines amid cooling price pressures. Recent July CPI data at 4.44% year-over-year—down from 4.64% in June and back inside the 1.5-4.5% target band—has reinforced expectations, driven by softer food, transport, and fuel components as global oil prices eased. Persistent upside risks from supply-side food pressures, fiscal spending initiatives, and a still-restrictive Selic rate path (with further 25-basis-point cuts anticipated) continue to anchor projections above the 3% target, while gradual labor-market cooling and prior monetary tightening support the downward revisions in trader sentiment.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
वॉल्यूम
$93,702समाप्ति तिथि
12 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Brazil's market-implied odds for 2026 annual IPCA inflation cluster around 5.00-5.49% as the leading outcome, reflecting the Focus survey consensus near 5.03% following five consecutive weekly declines amid cooling price pressures. Recent July CPI data at 4.44% year-over-year—down from 4.64% in June and back inside the 1.5-4.5% target band—has reinforced expectations, driven by softer food, transport, and fuel components as global oil prices eased. Persistent upside risks from supply-side food pressures, fiscal spending initiatives, and a still-restrictive Selic rate path (with further 25-basis-point cuts anticipated) continue to anchor projections above the 3% target, while gradual labor-market cooling and prior monetary tightening support the downward revisions in trader sentiment.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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