Polymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities—24.1% for 5.00-5.49%, 22.2% for 5.50-5.99%, and 18.6% for 4.50-4.99%—mirror Banco Central do Brasil Focus surveys now forecasting 2026 IPCA annual inflation at 5.0%, up for the eighth consecutive week after April's acceleration to 4.39% year-over-year from food price surges. This trader consensus prices persistent upside pressures against the 3.0% target (±1.5 percentage points), tempered by the central bank's cautious Selic rate cuts to 14.50% in late April amid softening monthly gains to 0.67%. Key swing factors include May IPCA data (due early June), fiscal policy execution, and commodity volatility, with easing momentum favoring sub-6% outcomes over higher bands.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5.00-5.49% 27.3%
4.50-4.99% 23.9%
5.50-5.99% 20.0%
7.00%+ 8.1%
$57,263 वॉल्यूम
$57,263 वॉल्यूम
12 जन, 2027
<3.00%
<1%
3.00-3.49%
9%
3.50-3.99%
3%
4.00-4.49%
7%
4.50-4.99%
16%
5.00-5.49%
24%
5.50-5.99%
21%
6.00-6.49%
5%
6.50-6.99%
4%
7.00%+
11%
5.00-5.49% 27.3%
4.50-4.99% 23.9%
5.50-5.99% 20.0%
7.00%+ 8.1%
$57,263 वॉल्यूम
$57,263 वॉल्यूम
12 जन, 2027
<3.00%
$4,305 वॉल्यूम
<1%
3.00-3.49%
$4,370 वॉल्यूम
9%
3.50-3.99%
$8,965 वॉल्यूम
3%
4.00-4.49%
$7,722 वॉल्यूम
7%
4.50-4.99%
$7,022 वॉल्यूम
16%
5.00-5.49%
$6,104 वॉल्यूम
24%
5.50-5.99%
$5,690 वॉल्यूम
21%
6.00-6.49%
$4,670 वॉल्यूम
5%
6.50-6.99%
$4,858 वॉल्यूम
4%
7.00%+
$3,556 वॉल्यूम
11%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlPolymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities—24.1% for 5.00-5.49%, 22.2% for 5.50-5.99%, and 18.6% for 4.50-4.99%—mirror Banco Central do Brasil Focus surveys now forecasting 2026 IPCA annual inflation at 5.0%, up for the eighth consecutive week after April's acceleration to 4.39% year-over-year from food price surges. This trader consensus prices persistent upside pressures against the 3.0% target (±1.5 percentage points), tempered by the central bank's cautious Selic rate cuts to 14.50% in late April amid softening monthly gains to 0.67%. Key swing factors include May IPCA data (due early June), fiscal policy execution, and commodity volatility, with easing momentum favoring sub-6% outcomes over higher bands.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$57,263समाप्ति तिथि
12 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlPolymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities—24.1% for 5.00-5.49%, 22.2% for 5.50-5.99%, and 18.6% for 4.50-4.99%—mirror Banco Central do Brasil Focus surveys now forecasting 2026 IPCA annual inflation at 5.0%, up for the eighth consecutive week after April's acceleration to 4.39% year-over-year from food price surges. This trader consensus prices persistent upside pressures against the 3.0% target (±1.5 percentage points), tempered by the central bank's cautious Selic rate cuts to 14.50% in late April amid softening monthly gains to 0.67%. Key swing factors include May IPCA data (due early June), fiscal policy execution, and commodity volatility, with easing momentum favoring sub-6% outcomes over higher bands.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
वॉल्यूम
$57,263समाप्ति तिथि
12 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities—24.1% for 5.00-5.49%, 22.2% for 5.50-5.99%, and 18.6% for 4.50-4.99%—mirror Banco Central do Brasil Focus surveys now forecasting 2026 IPCA annual inflation at 5.0%, up for the eighth consecutive week after April's acceleration to 4.39% year-over-year from food price surges. This trader consensus prices persistent upside pressures against the 3.0% target (±1.5 percentage points), tempered by the central bank's cautious Selic rate cuts to 14.50% in late April amid softening monthly gains to 0.67%. Key swing factors include May IPCA data (due early June), fiscal policy execution, and commodity volatility, with easing momentum favoring sub-6% outcomes over higher bands.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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