Recent Central Bank of Argentina market expectations survey results, showing a median 2026 inflation forecast of 30.5% after a 1.4 percentage point upward revision, anchor trader sentiment around the 30-34.9% band at 30% implied probability. April 2026 year-over-year CPI printed at 32.4%, extending the gradual disinflation trend from prior peaks above 200%, yet persistent core pressures and fiscal consolidation challenges under current policy have tempered expectations for faster declines. The tight spread to the 40-44.9% outcome at 26.8% reflects uncertainty over whether monthly prints will sustain momentum below 2% or encounter renewed volatility from wage indexation and external shocks, while consensus forecasts from the IMF align closely near 30.4%.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअर्जेंटीना वार्षिक मुद्रास्फीति 2026
40-44.9% 24.6%
30.0-34.9% 23.5%
25-29.9% 20%
20-24.9% 17.1%
<20%
7%
20-24.9%
17%
25-29.9%
24%
30.0-34.9%
30%
35–39.9%
18%
40-44.9%
25%
45%+
9%
40-44.9% 24.6%
30.0-34.9% 23.5%
25-29.9% 20%
20-24.9% 17.1%
<20%
7%
20-24.9%
17%
25-29.9%
24%
30.0-34.9%
30%
35–39.9%
18%
40-44.9%
25%
45%+
9%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Central Bank of Argentina market expectations survey results, showing a median 2026 inflation forecast of 30.5% after a 1.4 percentage point upward revision, anchor trader sentiment around the 30-34.9% band at 30% implied probability. April 2026 year-over-year CPI printed at 32.4%, extending the gradual disinflation trend from prior peaks above 200%, yet persistent core pressures and fiscal consolidation challenges under current policy have tempered expectations for faster declines. The tight spread to the 40-44.9% outcome at 26.8% reflects uncertainty over whether monthly prints will sustain momentum below 2% or encounter renewed volatility from wage indexation and external shocks, while consensus forecasts from the IMF align closely near 30.4%.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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