Trader sentiment on Polymarket for Federal Reserve rate hikes reflects rising caution after April 2026 CPI surged 3.8% year-over-year—the hottest print since May 2023—prompting market-implied odds of a hike to climb toward 37% before year-end per CME FedWatch Tool, up from prior levels. The FOMC held the federal funds target steady at 3.50%-3.75% in late April amid one dissenting vote for tightening, with labor markets remaining resilient at 115,000 jobs added and 4.3% unemployment. Sticky inflation and steady growth have narrowed expectations for cuts, pricing in potential holds through mid-2026. Traders eye the June 16-17 FOMC meeting and May jobs data for pivotal shifts in policy path.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$148,079 वॉल्यूम
9 दिस, 2026
जून बैठक
3%
जुलाई बैठक
6%
सितंबर बैठक
18%
अक्टूबर बैठक
28%
$148,079 वॉल्यूम
जून बैठक
$14,493 वॉल्यूम
3%
जुलाई बैठक
$770 वॉल्यूम
6%
सितंबर बैठक
$54 वॉल्यूम
18%
अक्टूबर बैठक
$1,454 वॉल्यूम
28%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Polymarket for Federal Reserve rate hikes reflects rising caution after April 2026 CPI surged 3.8% year-over-year—the hottest print since May 2023—prompting market-implied odds of a hike to climb toward 37% before year-end per CME FedWatch Tool, up from prior levels. The FOMC held the federal funds target steady at 3.50%-3.75% in late April amid one dissenting vote for tightening, with labor markets remaining resilient at 115,000 jobs added and 4.3% unemployment. Sticky inflation and steady growth have narrowed expectations for cuts, pricing in potential holds through mid-2026. Traders eye the June 16-17 FOMC meeting and May jobs data for pivotal shifts in policy path.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$148,079समाप्ति तिथि
29 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Polymarket for Federal Reserve rate hikes reflects rising caution after April 2026 CPI surged 3.8% year-over-year—the hottest print since May 2023—prompting market-implied odds of a hike to climb toward 37% before year-end per CME FedWatch Tool, up from prior levels. The FOMC held the federal funds target steady at 3.50%-3.75% in late April amid one dissenting vote for tightening, with labor markets remaining resilient at 115,000 jobs added and 4.3% unemployment. Sticky inflation and steady growth have narrowed expectations for cuts, pricing in potential holds through mid-2026. Traders eye the June 16-17 FOMC meeting and May jobs data for pivotal shifts in policy path.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$148,079समाप्ति तिथि
29 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket for Federal Reserve rate hikes reflects rising caution after April 2026 CPI surged 3.8% year-over-year—the hottest print since May 2023—prompting market-implied odds of a hike to climb toward 37% before year-end per CME FedWatch Tool, up from prior levels. The FOMC held the federal funds target steady at 3.50%-3.75% in late April amid one dissenting vote for tightening, with labor markets remaining resilient at 115,000 jobs added and 4.3% unemployment. Sticky inflation and steady growth have narrowed expectations for cuts, pricing in potential holds through mid-2026. Traders eye the June 16-17 FOMC meeting and May jobs data for pivotal shifts in policy path.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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