Recent July FOMC action, holding the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75 percent on a 9-3 vote with three dissents favoring a 25 basis point hike, has driven heightened trader focus on potential September tightening. Persistent inflation above the 2 percent target, reinforced by July oil price surges tied to Middle East developments, underpins hawkish pressure despite solid labor market conditions. Markets now price a near-even chance of a September move, with incoming July and August CPI prints plus Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole remarks on August 27-29 serving as key catalysts. This setup reflects policy uncertainty as futures imply possible further increases by year-end versus official guidance favoring patience.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$2,196,387 वॉल्यूम
9 दिस, 2026
सितंबर बैठक
31%
अक्टूबर बैठक
46%
$2,196,387 वॉल्यूम
सितंबर बैठक
$806,115 वॉल्यूम
31%
अक्टूबर बैठक
$430,272 वॉल्यूम
46%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent July FOMC action, holding the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75 percent on a 9-3 vote with three dissents favoring a 25 basis point hike, has driven heightened trader focus on potential September tightening. Persistent inflation above the 2 percent target, reinforced by July oil price surges tied to Middle East developments, underpins hawkish pressure despite solid labor market conditions. Markets now price a near-even chance of a September move, with incoming July and August CPI prints plus Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole remarks on August 27-29 serving as key catalysts. This setup reflects policy uncertainty as futures imply possible further increases by year-end versus official guidance favoring patience.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,196,387समाप्ति तिथि
29 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent July FOMC action, holding the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75 percent on a 9-3 vote with three dissents favoring a 25 basis point hike, has driven heightened trader focus on potential September tightening. Persistent inflation above the 2 percent target, reinforced by July oil price surges tied to Middle East developments, underpins hawkish pressure despite solid labor market conditions. Markets now price a near-even chance of a September move, with incoming July and August CPI prints plus Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole remarks on August 27-29 serving as key catalysts. This setup reflects policy uncertainty as futures imply possible further increases by year-end versus official guidance favoring patience.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$2,196,387समाप्ति तिथि
29 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent July FOMC action, holding the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75 percent on a 9-3 vote with three dissents favoring a 25 basis point hike, has driven heightened trader focus on potential September tightening. Persistent inflation above the 2 percent target, reinforced by July oil price surges tied to Middle East developments, underpins hawkish pressure despite solid labor market conditions. Markets now price a near-even chance of a September move, with incoming July and August CPI prints plus Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole remarks on August 27-29 serving as key catalysts. This setup reflects policy uncertainty as futures imply possible further increases by year-end versus official guidance favoring patience.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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