Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 67.5% implied probability of no Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026, reflecting the Fed's steadfast hold on the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% amid persistent inflation pressures. April 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—driven by energy costs from the Iran war, prompting hawkish comments like Boston Fed President Collins' May 13 remarks that tighter policy may be needed to reach 2% inflation. Strong recent jobs data has delayed brokerage rate-cut forecasts to mid-2026 or later, shifting FOMC debates from easing to potential hikes, though March dot plot medians still envision modest 2026 cuts. Upcoming May CPI and June 16-17 FOMC meeting loom as key catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$1,077,768 वॉल्यूम
$1,077,768 वॉल्यूम
9 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$1,077,768 वॉल्यूम
$1,077,768 वॉल्यूम
9 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 67.5% implied probability of no Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026, reflecting the Fed's steadfast hold on the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% amid persistent inflation pressures. April 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—driven by energy costs from the Iran war, prompting hawkish comments like Boston Fed President Collins' May 13 remarks that tighter policy may be needed to reach 2% inflation. Strong recent jobs data has delayed brokerage rate-cut forecasts to mid-2026 or later, shifting FOMC debates from easing to potential hikes, though March dot plot medians still envision modest 2026 cuts. Upcoming May CPI and June 16-17 FOMC meeting loom as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,077,768समाप्ति तिथि
9 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 67.5% implied probability of no Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026, reflecting the Fed's steadfast hold on the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% amid persistent inflation pressures. April 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—driven by energy costs from the Iran war, prompting hawkish comments like Boston Fed President Collins' May 13 remarks that tighter policy may be needed to reach 2% inflation. Strong recent jobs data has delayed brokerage rate-cut forecasts to mid-2026 or later, shifting FOMC debates from easing to potential hikes, though March dot plot medians still envision modest 2026 cuts. Upcoming May CPI and June 16-17 FOMC meeting loom as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$1,078,174समाप्ति तिथि
9 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 67.5% implied probability of no Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026, reflecting the Fed's steadfast hold on the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% amid persistent inflation pressures. April 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—driven by energy costs from the Iran war, prompting hawkish comments like Boston Fed President Collins' May 13 remarks that tighter policy may be needed to reach 2% inflation. Strong recent jobs data has delayed brokerage rate-cut forecasts to mid-2026 or later, shifting FOMC debates from easing to potential hikes, though March dot plot medians still envision modest 2026 cuts. Upcoming May CPI and June 16-17 FOMC meeting loom as key catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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